Skip to main content
icon for World Cup Winner

World Cup Winner

icon for World Cup Winner

World Cup Winner

Spain 16.9%

France 16.1%

Portugal 10.9%

England 10.8%

Polymarket

$1,940,590,071 Vol.

Spain 16.9%

France 16.1%

Portugal 10.9%

England 10.8%

Polymarket

$1,940,590,071 Vol.

icon for Spain

Spain

$37,122,833 Vol.

17%

icon for France

France

$43,707,536 Vol.

16%

icon for Portugal

Portugal

$38,845,741 Vol.

11%

icon for England

England

$32,192,312 Vol.

11%

icon for Argentina

Argentina

$34,469,640 Vol.

9%

icon for Brazil

Brazil

$33,798,614 Vol.

8%

icon for Germany

Germany

$35,518,523 Vol.

5%

icon for Netherlands

Netherlands

$38,135,844 Vol.

4%

icon for Norway

Norway

$36,858,653 Vol.

2%

icon for Belgium

Belgium

$39,830,459 Vol.

2%

icon for Colombia

Colombia

$39,395,750 Vol.

2%

icon for Japan

Japan

$39,789,056 Vol.

2%

icon for Morocco

Morocco

$43,559,628 Vol.

2%

icon for Mexico

Mexico

$43,543,671 Vol.

1%

icon for Switzerland

Switzerland

$38,497,357 Vol.

1%

icon for Turkiye

Turkiye

$36,723,944 Vol.

1%

icon for USA

USA

$56,311,171 Vol.

1%

icon for Uruguay

Uruguay

$39,123,332 Vol.

1%

icon for Croatia

Croatia

$44,682,645 Vol.

1%

icon for Ecuador

Ecuador

$44,572,172 Vol.

1%

icon for Senegal

Senegal

$38,510,454 Vol.

1%

icon for Ivory Coast

Ivory Coast

$52,290,417 Vol.

<1%

icon for Austria

Austria

$42,918,223 Vol.

<1%

icon for Canada

Canada

$43,882,723 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sweden

Sweden

$29,545,548 Vol.

<1%

icon for South Korea

South Korea

$48,078,619 Vol.

<1%

icon for Scotland

Scotland

$42,044,651 Vol.

<1%

icon for Egypt

Egypt

$50,954,084 Vol.

<1%

icon for Iran

Iran

$44,297,327 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ghana

Ghana

$36,644,434 Vol.

<1%

icon for Algeria

Algeria

$44,473,027 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bosnia-Herzegovina

Bosnia-Herzegovina

$27,596,314 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paraguay

Paraguay

$41,764,647 Vol.

<1%

icon for Congo DR

Congo DR

$57,477,449 Vol.

<1%

icon for Czechia

Czechia

$27,813,561 Vol.

<1%

icon for Australia

Australia

$45,893,072 Vol.

<1%

icon for New Zealand

New Zealand

$45,473,807 Vol.

<1%

icon for Haiti

Haiti

$32,022,191 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jordan

Jordan

$31,607,892 Vol.

<1%

icon for Curaçao

Curaçao

$41,613,224 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tunisia

Tunisia

$35,503,084 Vol.

<1%

icon for Uzbekistan

Uzbekistan

$59,655,927 Vol.

<1%

icon for Panama

Panama

$19,348,383 Vol.

<1%

icon for Iraq

Iraq

$28,864,643 Vol.

<1%

icon for South Africa

South Africa

$38,231,045 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cape Verde

Cape Verde

$40,166,103 Vol.

<1%

icon for Qatar

Qatar

$41,894,617 Vol.

<1%

icon for Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia

$47,594,315 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain, France, Portugal, and England lead the tightly bunched 2026 World Cup winner probabilities because each enters with elite squads, strong recent international results, and favorable paths through the expanded 48-team group stage. Spain’s post-Euro 2024 momentum and squad depth keep it narrowly ahead, while France benefits from its core of experienced players and defensive organization. Portugal and England remain close behind thanks to attacking talent and consistent qualifying form. Argentina and Brazil sit just behind the top tier on historical pedigree and star power, creating a cluster where small differences in preparation or early results could shift the field. No single side holds a dominant edge heading into opening matches.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,940,590,071
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 20, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain, France, Portugal, and England lead the tightly bunched 2026 World Cup winner probabilities because each enters with elite squads, strong recent international results, and favorable paths through the expanded 48-team group stage. Spain’s post-Euro 2024 momentum and squad depth keep it narrowly ahead, while France benefits from its core of experienced players and defensive organization. Portugal and England remain close behind thanks to attacking talent and consistent qualifying form. Argentina and Brazil sit just behind the top tier on historical pedigree and star power, creating a cluster where small differences in preparation or early results could shift the field. No single side holds a dominant edge heading into opening matches.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,940,590,071
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 20, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "World Cup Winner " ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 50+ posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Spain" sa 17%, sinusundan ng "France" sa 16%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 17¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 17% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "World Cup Winner " ay naka-generate ng $1.9 billion sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jul 2, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "World Cup Winner ," i-browse ang 50+ available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "World Cup Winner " ay "Spain" sa 17%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 17% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "France" sa 16%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "World Cup Winner " ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.