With several European powerhouses displaying strong recent form and deep squads ahead of the expanded 2026 FIFA World Cup, trader consensus reflects a tight race among France, Spain, and England. Spain's near-flawless qualification campaign and tactical cohesion under recent success position them as slight co-leaders, while France benefits from elite depth and attacking talent. Argentina's defending-champion experience and Brazil's traditional pedigree add to the balance, with Portugal and Germany not far behind based on head-to-head trends and group-stage paths. The bunched probabilities around 8-18% highlight how minor shifts in fitness or early-tournament results could quickly alter implied probabilities across the field.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоФранція 18.3%
Іспанія 16.7%
Англія 11.3%
Бразилія 9.2%
$1,012,316,566 Обс.
$1,012,316,566 Обс.
Jul 20, 2026
Франція
18%
Іспанія
17%
Англія
11%
Бразилія
9%
Аргентина
8%
Португалія
8%
Німеччина
5%
Нідерланди
3%
Норвегія
2%
Японія
2%
Бельгія
2%
Колумбія
2%
США
2%
Марокко
2%
Швейцарія
1%
Уругвай
1%
Мексика
1%
Croatia
1%
Еквадор
1%
Сенегал
1%
Туреччина
1%
Austria
1%
Sweden
1%
Канада
<1%
Південна Корея
<1%
Парагвай
<1%
Шотландія
<1%
Кот-д’Івуар
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Гана
<1%
Алжир
<1%
Боснія і Герцеговина
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Нова Зеландія
<1%
Гаїті
<1%
Йорданія
<1%
Кюрасао
<1%
Іран
<1%
Туніс
<1%
Узбекистан
<1%
Панама
<1%
Ірак
<1%
Південна Африка
<1%
Демократична Республіка Конго
<1%
Кабо-Верде
<1%
Катар
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Франція 18.3%
Іспанія 16.7%
Англія 11.3%
Бразилія 9.2%
$1,012,316,566 Обс.
$1,012,316,566 Обс.
Jul 20, 2026
Франція
$27,230,786 Обс.
18%
Іспанія
$21,358,204 Обс.
17%
Англія
$17,642,352 Обс.
11%
Бразилія
$18,883,259 Обс.
9%
Аргентина
$18,460,970 Обс.
8%
Португалія
$20,180,956 Обс.
8%
Німеччина
$17,192,975 Обс.
5%
Нідерланди
$19,284,161 Обс.
3%
Норвегія
$17,767,183 Обс.
2%
Японія
$22,035,854 Обс.
2%
Бельгія
$16,851,279 Обс.
2%
Колумбія
$15,732,615 Обс.
2%
США
$32,313,488 Обс.
2%
Марокко
$20,672,454 Обс.
2%
Швейцарія
$18,497,946 Обс.
1%
Уругвай
$17,947,695 Обс.
1%
Мексика
$19,622,345 Обс.
1%
Croatia
$21,544,612 Обс.
1%
Еквадор
$21,975,419 Обс.
1%
Сенегал
$17,606,859 Обс.
1%
Туреччина
$10,984,337 Обс.
1%
Austria
$18,777,420 Обс.
1%
Sweden
$9,941,968 Обс.
1%
Канада
$23,049,127 Обс.
<1%
Південна Корея
$24,531,574 Обс.
<1%
Парагвай
$19,722,020 Обс.
<1%
Шотландія
$18,679,508 Обс.
<1%
Кот-д’Івуар
$23,362,328 Обс.
<1%
Egypt
$23,773,205 Обс.
<1%
Гана
$18,246,695 Обс.
<1%
Алжир
$21,922,442 Обс.
<1%
Боснія і Герцеговина
$10,801,227 Обс.
<1%
Czechia
$9,495,313 Обс.
<1%
Australia
$23,921,968 Обс.
<1%
Нова Зеландія
$31,144,965 Обс.
<1%
Гаїті
$18,012,880 Обс.
<1%
Йорданія
$26,146,267 Обс.
<1%
Кюрасао
$36,709,126 Обс.
<1%
Іран
$24,896,158 Обс.
<1%
Туніс
$22,370,643 Обс.
<1%
Узбекистан
$39,007,766 Обс.
<1%
Панама
$13,130,836 Обс.
<1%
Ірак
$12,718,059 Обс.
<1%
Південна Африка
$27,146,880 Обс.
<1%
Демократична Республіка Конго
$16,527,806 Обс.
<1%
Кабо-Верде
$23,158,390 Обс.
<1%
Катар
$24,775,588 Обс.
<1%
Saudi Arabia
$27,735,576 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With several European powerhouses displaying strong recent form and deep squads ahead of the expanded 2026 FIFA World Cup, trader consensus reflects a tight race among France, Spain, and England. Spain's near-flawless qualification campaign and tactical cohesion under recent success position them as slight co-leaders, while France benefits from elite depth and attacking talent. Argentina's defending-champion experience and Brazil's traditional pedigree add to the balance, with Portugal and Germany not far behind based on head-to-head trends and group-stage paths. The bunched probabilities around 8-18% highlight how minor shifts in fitness or early-tournament results could quickly alter implied probabilities across the field.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,012,316,566Дата завершення
Jul 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With several European powerhouses displaying strong recent form and deep squads ahead of the expanded 2026 FIFA World Cup, trader consensus reflects a tight race among France, Spain, and England. Spain's near-flawless qualification campaign and tactical cohesion under recent success position them as slight co-leaders, while France benefits from elite depth and attacking talent. Argentina's defending-champion experience and Brazil's traditional pedigree add to the balance, with Portugal and Germany not far behind based on head-to-head trends and group-stage paths. The bunched probabilities around 8-18% highlight how minor shifts in fitness or early-tournament results could quickly alter implied probabilities across the field.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$1,012,316,566Дата завершення
Jul 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...With several European powerhouses displaying strong recent form and deep squads ahead of the expanded 2026 FIFA World Cup, trader consensus reflects a tight race among France, Spain, and England. Spain's near-flawless qualification campaign and tactical cohesion under recent success position them as slight co-leaders, while France benefits from elite depth and attacking talent. Argentina's defending-champion experience and Brazil's traditional pedigree add to the balance, with Portugal and Germany not far behind based on head-to-head trends and group-stage paths. The bunched probabilities around 8-18% highlight how minor shifts in fitness or early-tournament results could quickly alter implied probabilities across the field.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання