Jannik Sinner's commanding 44-3 record in 2026, including a Wimbledon title defense with victories over Novak Djokovic and Alexander Zverev, underpins his 54.5% implied probability as the top hard-court contender for the US Open. Carlos Alcaraz sits at 12.5% after capturing the Australian Open early in the season but with fewer recent hard-court results. Zverev's first Grand Slam at Roland Garros elevates him to 10.9%, though his Wimbledon final loss highlights surface-specific challenges. Djokovic at 5.0% reflects sustained competitiveness tempered by age and recent semifinal exits. The wisdom of crowds in current pricing accounts for form, head-to-head history, and the hard-court demands favoring Sinner's consistency heading into the late-August event.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоЯннік Сіннер 55%
Карлос Алькарас 13%
Олександр Зверев 10.9%
Новак Джокович 5.0%
$5,502,643 Обс.
$5,502,643 Обс.
Яннік Сіннер
55%
Карлос Алькарас
13%
Олександр Зверев
11%
Новак Джокович
5%
Тейлор Фріц
3%
Даніїл Медведєв
2%
Бен Шелтон
2%
Жоау Фонсека
1%
Їржі Лехечка
1%
Якуб Меншік
1%
Фелікс Оже-Аліассім
1%
Артур Фіс
1%
Андрій Рубльов
1%
Джек Дрейпер
<1%
Олександр Бублик
<1%
Лоренцо Музетті
<1%
Флавіо Коболлі
<1%
Френсіс Тіафо
<1%
Маттео Берреттіні
<1%
Губерт Гуркач
<1%
Грігор Дімітров
<1%
Гольгер Руне
<1%
Яннік Сіннер 55%
Карлос Алькарас 13%
Олександр Зверев 10.9%
Новак Джокович 5.0%
$5,502,643 Обс.
$5,502,643 Обс.
Яннік Сіннер
55%
Карлос Алькарас
13%
Олександр Зверев
11%
Новак Джокович
5%
Тейлор Фріц
3%
Даніїл Медведєв
2%
Бен Шелтон
2%
Жоау Фонсека
1%
Їржі Лехечка
1%
Якуб Меншік
1%
Фелікс Оже-Аліассім
1%
Артур Фіс
1%
Андрій Рубльов
1%
Джек Дрейпер
<1%
Олександр Бублик
<1%
Лоренцо Музетті
<1%
Флавіо Коболлі
<1%
Френсіс Тіафо
<1%
Маттео Берреттіні
<1%
Губерт Гуркач
<1%
Грігор Дімітров
<1%
Гольгер Руне
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jannik Sinner's commanding 44-3 record in 2026, including a Wimbledon title defense with victories over Novak Djokovic and Alexander Zverev, underpins his 54.5% implied probability as the top hard-court contender for the US Open. Carlos Alcaraz sits at 12.5% after capturing the Australian Open early in the season but with fewer recent hard-court results. Zverev's first Grand Slam at Roland Garros elevates him to 10.9%, though his Wimbledon final loss highlights surface-specific challenges. Djokovic at 5.0% reflects sustained competitiveness tempered by age and recent semifinal exits. The wisdom of crowds in current pricing accounts for form, head-to-head history, and the hard-court demands favoring Sinner's consistency heading into the late-August event.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено


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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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