The 2026 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills begins Thursday, with first-round leader probabilities tightly clustered because the historic, par-70 layout rewards precision off the tee and controlled iron play amid firm, fast greens and thick rough. No single player commands outsized odds, as recent form, course history, and random variance in scoring all contribute to a wide distribution of realistic outcomes. Scheffler, McIlroy, and Rahm sit among the stronger contenders based on major pedigree and current ball-striking, yet the market assigns comparable implied chances to numerous others, including accurate drivers like Henley and Fitzpatrick who performed well in the 2018 edition here. Practice-round reports and official injury updates have produced minimal shifts, underscoring how early-round low scores at Shinnecock remain inherently unpredictable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAlex Smalley 49%
Nicolai Højgaard 49%
Gary Woodland 49%
Matt Fitzpatrick 49%
Alex Smalley
49%
Nicolai Højgaard
49%
Gary Woodland
49%
Matt Fitzpatrick
49%
Xander Schauffele
49%
Robert MacIntyre
49%
Sepp Straka
49%
Tyrrell Hatton
49%
Bud Cauley
49%
Adam Scott
49%
Carlos Ortiz
49%
Laurie Canter
49%
Joaquin Niemann
49%
Tommy Fleetwood
49%
Jon Rahm
49%
Aaron Rai
49%
Chris Gotterup
49%
Justin Rose
49%
Collin Morikawa
49%
Si Woo Kim
49%
Scottie Scheffler
45%
Daniel Berger
43%
Russell Henley
42%
Cameron Young
42%
J.T. Poston
36%
Dustin Johnson
33%
J.J. Spaun
30%
Rory McIlroy
29%
Ludvig Åberg
28%
David Puig
28%
Patrick Reed
27%
Ben Griffin
27%
Justin Thomas
27%
Maverick McNealy
27%
Alex Noren
26%
Jordan Spieth
26%
Bryson DeChambeau
26%
Jason Day
26%
Shane Lowry
26%
Wyndham Clark
25%
Keegan Bradley
23%
Lucas Herbert
22%
Michael Kim
22%
Sam Burns
5%
Kurt Kitayama
5%
Akshay Bhatia
5%
Hideki Matsuyama
5%
Viktor Hovland
5%
Min Woo Lee
5%
Jake Knapp
5%
Kristoffer Reitan
5%
Patrick Cantlay
5%
Ryan Gerard
5%
Harris English
5%
Rickie Fowler
5%
Jacob Bridgeman
5%
Cameron Smith
5%
Alex Smalley 49%
Nicolai Højgaard 49%
Gary Woodland 49%
Matt Fitzpatrick 49%
Alex Smalley
49%
Nicolai Højgaard
49%
Gary Woodland
49%
Matt Fitzpatrick
49%
Xander Schauffele
49%
Robert MacIntyre
49%
Sepp Straka
49%
Tyrrell Hatton
49%
Bud Cauley
49%
Adam Scott
49%
Carlos Ortiz
49%
Laurie Canter
49%
Joaquin Niemann
49%
Tommy Fleetwood
49%
Jon Rahm
49%
Aaron Rai
49%
Chris Gotterup
49%
Justin Rose
49%
Collin Morikawa
49%
Si Woo Kim
49%
Scottie Scheffler
45%
Daniel Berger
43%
Russell Henley
42%
Cameron Young
42%
J.T. Poston
36%
Dustin Johnson
33%
J.J. Spaun
30%
Rory McIlroy
29%
Ludvig Åberg
28%
David Puig
28%
Patrick Reed
27%
Ben Griffin
27%
Justin Thomas
27%
Maverick McNealy
27%
Alex Noren
26%
Jordan Spieth
26%
Bryson DeChambeau
26%
Jason Day
26%
Shane Lowry
26%
Wyndham Clark
25%
Keegan Bradley
23%
Lucas Herbert
22%
Michael Kim
22%
Sam Burns
5%
Kurt Kitayama
5%
Akshay Bhatia
5%
Hideki Matsuyama
5%
Viktor Hovland
5%
Min Woo Lee
5%
Jake Knapp
5%
Kristoffer Reitan
5%
Patrick Cantlay
5%
Ryan Gerard
5%
Harris English
5%
Rickie Fowler
5%
Jacob Bridgeman
5%
Cameron Smith
5%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
Ринок відкрито: Jun 16, 2026, 11:42 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills begins Thursday, with first-round leader probabilities tightly clustered because the historic, par-70 layout rewards precision off the tee and controlled iron play amid firm, fast greens and thick rough. No single player commands outsized odds, as recent form, course history, and random variance in scoring all contribute to a wide distribution of realistic outcomes. Scheffler, McIlroy, and Rahm sit among the stronger contenders based on major pedigree and current ball-striking, yet the market assigns comparable implied chances to numerous others, including accurate drivers like Henley and Fitzpatrick who performed well in the 2018 edition here. Practice-round reports and official injury updates have produced minimal shifts, underscoring how early-round low scores at Shinnecock remain inherently unpredictable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання