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Технологія·Weather

AI data center in space by...?

icon for AI data center in space by...?
Технологія·Weather

AI data center in space by...?

$35,197 Обс.

Dec 31, 2027
Polymarket

$35,197 Обс.

Polymarket

December 31, 2026

$20,687 Обс.

2%

December 31, 2027

$14,510 Обс.

25%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Orbital data center” refers to any spacecraft, satellite, or equivalent technology carrying computing infrastructure that is launched into Earth’s orbit for the purpose of providing data-center, cloud-computing, or artificial intelligence computing services and which includes at least 100 data-center-grade AI accelerators, GPUs, TPUs, or substantially equivalent compute processors, (e.g. NVIDIA H100 GPUs, Google TPUs, or equivalent or successor chips). “Successfully launched” refers to any launch which successfully places a qualifying orbital data center into Earth’s orbit. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX’s January 2026 FCC filing for up to one million solar-powered AI compute satellites, combined with xAI integration and Elon Musk’s statements on orbital economics, has anchored trader sentiment around near-term feasibility. Prototypes are advancing quickly: Axiom Space launched initial orbital data center nodes in January 2026, Starcloud (NVIDIA-backed) achieved the first in-space LLM training in December 2025 with a follow-on satellite slated for October 2026, and Google’s Project Suncatcher targets 2027 test flights. Multiple additional FCC applications for large constellations signal competitive momentum, yet technical hurdles around inter-satellite links, radiative cooling at scale, launch cadence via Starship, and spectrum approvals remain key swing factors. Upcoming catalysts include further FCC decisions, prototype performance data, and any 2026–2027 launch milestones that could shift implied probabilities for operational deployments.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

“Orbital data center” refers to any spacecraft, satellite, or equivalent technology carrying computing infrastructure that is launched into Earth’s orbit for the purpose of providing data-center, cloud-computing, or artificial intelligence computing services and which includes at least 100 data-center-grade AI accelerators, GPUs, TPUs, or substantially equivalent compute processors, (e.g. NVIDIA H100 GPUs, Google TPUs, or equivalent or successor chips).

“Successfully launched” refers to any launch which successfully places a qualifying orbital data center into Earth’s orbit.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$35,197
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2027
Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 1:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Orbital data center” refers to any spacecraft, satellite, or equivalent technology carrying computing infrastructure that is launched into Earth’s orbit for the purpose of providing data-center, cloud-computing, or artificial intelligence computing services and which includes at least 100 data-center-grade AI accelerators, GPUs, TPUs, or substantially equivalent compute processors, (e.g. NVIDIA H100 GPUs, Google TPUs, or equivalent or successor chips). “Successfully launched” refers to any launch which successfully places a qualifying orbital data center into Earth’s orbit. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Orbital data center” refers to any spacecraft, satellite, or equivalent technology carrying computing infrastructure that is launched into Earth’s orbit for the purpose of providing data-center, cloud-computing, or artificial intelligence computing services and which includes at least 100 data-center-grade AI accelerators, GPUs, TPUs, or substantially equivalent compute processors, (e.g. NVIDIA H100 GPUs, Google TPUs, or equivalent or successor chips). “Successfully launched” refers to any launch which successfully places a qualifying orbital data center into Earth’s orbit. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX’s January 2026 FCC filing for up to one million solar-powered AI compute satellites, combined with xAI integration and Elon Musk’s statements on orbital economics, has anchored trader sentiment around near-term feasibility. Prototypes are advancing quickly: Axiom Space launched initial orbital data center nodes in January 2026, Starcloud (NVIDIA-backed) achieved the first in-space LLM training in December 2025 with a follow-on satellite slated for October 2026, and Google’s Project Suncatcher targets 2027 test flights. Multiple additional FCC applications for large constellations signal competitive momentum, yet technical hurdles around inter-satellite links, radiative cooling at scale, launch cadence via Starship, and spectrum approvals remain key swing factors. Upcoming catalysts include further FCC decisions, prototype performance data, and any 2026–2027 launch milestones that could shift implied probabilities for operational deployments.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

“Orbital data center” refers to any spacecraft, satellite, or equivalent technology carrying computing infrastructure that is launched into Earth’s orbit for the purpose of providing data-center, cloud-computing, or artificial intelligence computing services and which includes at least 100 data-center-grade AI accelerators, GPUs, TPUs, or substantially equivalent compute processors, (e.g. NVIDIA H100 GPUs, Google TPUs, or equivalent or successor chips).

“Successfully launched” refers to any launch which successfully places a qualifying orbital data center into Earth’s orbit.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$35,197
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2027
Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 1:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Orbital data center” refers to any spacecraft, satellite, or equivalent technology carrying computing infrastructure that is launched into Earth’s orbit for the purpose of providing data-center, cloud-computing, or artificial intelligence computing services and which includes at least 100 data-center-grade AI accelerators, GPUs, TPUs, or substantially equivalent compute processors, (e.g. NVIDIA H100 GPUs, Google TPUs, or equivalent or successor chips). “Successfully launched” refers to any launch which successfully places a qualifying orbital data center into Earth’s orbit. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Пов'язане

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«AI data center in space by...?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 2 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «December 31, 2027» з 25%, далі «December 31, 2026» з 2%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «AI data center in space by...?» згенерував $35.2K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку May 14, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «AI data center in space by...?», перегляньте 2 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «AI data center in space by...?» — «December 31, 2027» з 25%. Наступний — «December 31, 2026» з 2%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «AI data center in space by...?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.