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icon for António Guterres out by December 31?

António Guterres out by December 31?

icon for António Guterres out by December 31?

António Guterres out by December 31?

26% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
26% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.António Guterres is serving the final months of his second term as UN Secretary-General, which concludes on 31 December 2026 under the standard five-year appointment cycle. The formal selection process for his successor is already advanced, with multiple candidates nominated by member states, interactive dialogues completed, and Security Council straw polls underway as of mid-2026. Guterres continues to fulfill official duties, including recent public statements on climate action, AI governance, and diplomatic visits, without reported institutional challenges or resignation pressures that would trigger an early departure. Trader consensus on the “No” outcome at 74.5% aligns with the predictable timeline for term completion and the absence of extraordinary events altering the appointment process.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$2,213
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 21, 2026, 2:17 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.António Guterres is serving the final months of his second term as UN Secretary-General, which concludes on 31 December 2026 under the standard five-year appointment cycle. The formal selection process for his successor is already advanced, with multiple candidates nominated by member states, interactive dialogues completed, and Security Council straw polls underway as of mid-2026. Guterres continues to fulfill official duties, including recent public statements on climate action, AI governance, and diplomatic visits, without reported institutional challenges or resignation pressures that would trigger an early departure. Trader consensus on the “No” outcome at 74.5% aligns with the predictable timeline for term completion and the absence of extraordinary events altering the appointment process.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$2,213
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 21, 2026, 2:17 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«António Guterres out by December 31?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 26% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 26¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 26%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«António Guterres out by December 31?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Apr 21, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «António Guterres out by December 31?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «António Guterres out by December 31?» — 26% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 26% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «António Guterres out by December 31?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.