Skip to main content
icon for António Guterres out by December 31?
Geopolitics·UN

António Guterres out by December 31?

icon for António Guterres out by December 31?
Geopolitics·UN

António Guterres out by December 31?

28% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
28% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.António Guterres is completing his second term as UN Secretary-General, scheduled to conclude on December 31, 2026, with the formal selection process for his successor already underway following a joint letter from the Security Council and General Assembly presidents in late 2025. Candidate dialogues occurred in April 2026, and Guterres has publicly framed 2026 as his final year while maintaining routine duties and public statements on global issues. No official announcements, health developments, or institutional actions point to an early resignation or removal. The trader consensus reflected in the 72.5% probability for "No" aligns with this established timeline and lack of catalysts that would accelerate his departure ahead of the planned transition to a new Secretary-General in 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$1,824
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 21, 2026, 2:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.António Guterres is completing his second term as UN Secretary-General, scheduled to conclude on December 31, 2026, with the formal selection process for his successor already underway following a joint letter from the Security Council and General Assembly presidents in late 2025. Candidate dialogues occurred in April 2026, and Guterres has publicly framed 2026 as his final year while maintaining routine duties and public statements on global issues. No official announcements, health developments, or institutional actions point to an early resignation or removal. The trader consensus reflected in the 72.5% probability for "No" aligns with this established timeline and lack of catalysts that would accelerate his departure ahead of the planned transition to a new Secretary-General in 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$1,824
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 21, 2026, 2:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«António Guterres out by December 31?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 28% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 28¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 28%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«António Guterres out by December 31?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Apr 21, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «António Guterres out by December 31?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «António Guterres out by December 31?» — 28% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 28% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «António Guterres out by December 31?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.