Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоBallon d'Or Winner 2026
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
Harry Kane 23.9%
Ousmane Dembélé 17.1%
Kylian Mbappé 15%
Lionel Messi 13.9%
$4,678,756 Обс.
$4,678,756 Обс.
Oct 31, 2026
Harry Kane
24%
Ousmane Dembélé
17%
Kylian Mbappé
15%
Lionel Messi
14%
Lamine Yamal
9%
Michael Olise
7%
Vitinha
5%
Declan Rice
3%
Cristiano Ronaldo
2%
Vinícius Júnior
2%
Erling Haaland
2%
Lautaro Martinez
1%
Luis Diaz
1%
Achraf Hakimi
1%
Pedri
1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Harry Kane 23.9%
Ousmane Dembélé 17.1%
Kylian Mbappé 15%
Lionel Messi 13.9%
$4,678,756 Обс.
$4,678,756 Обс.
Oct 31, 2026
Harry Kane
$765,549 Обс.
24%
Ousmane Dembélé
$593,404 Обс.
17%
Kylian Mbappé
$180,554 Обс.
15%
Lionel Messi
$44,171 Обс.
14%
Lamine Yamal
$105,454 Обс.
9%
Michael Olise
$112,542 Обс.
7%
Vitinha
$81,852 Обс.
5%
Declan Rice
$84,931 Обс.
3%
Cristiano Ronaldo
$90,774 Обс.
2%
Vinícius Júnior
$487,933 Обс.
2%
Erling Haaland
$297,938 Обс.
2%
Lautaro Martinez
$55,861 Обс.
1%
Luis Diaz
$54,089 Обс.
1%
Achraf Hakimi
$40,472 Обс.
1%
Pedri
$299,702 Обс.
1%
Bruno Fernandes
$60,970 Обс.
<1%
Julian Alvarez
$55,751 Обс.
<1%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
$89,941 Обс.
<1%
Jude Bellingham
$287,693 Обс.
<1%
Mohamed Salah
$421,301 Обс.
<1%
Cole Palmer
$203,864 Обс.
<1%
Raphinha
$71,599 Обс.
<1%
Desire Doue
$45,520 Обс.
<1%
Federico Valverde
$47,526 Обс.
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
$99,364 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Ринок відкрито: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Обсяг
$4,678,756Дата завершення
Oct 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Обсяг
$4,678,756Дата завершення
Oct 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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