Chapecoense and Remo sit deep in the relegation zone after 29 rounds, holding just 18 and 24 points with over 96% implied probabilities of dropping to Série B per UFMG models. Grêmio (30 points) and Internacional (31) face mounting pressure following Grêmio’s draw with Remo and Internacional’s 2-1 win over Corinthians, which prompted the dismissal of Fernando Diniz and lifted Corinthians’ risk to 36%. With nine rounds left, the 30th matchday features Vasco versus Remo and the Gre-Nal, outcomes that will reshape the bottom of the table where Mirassol and a cluster of mid-table sides still carry single-digit to low-20s percent chances. Recent form, remaining fixtures, and direct confrontations continue to drive trader positioning on the four teams ultimately relegated.