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icon for Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series

Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series

icon for Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series

Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series

Noah Wyle – “The Pitt” 52%

Rufus Sewell – “The Diplomat” 48%

Mark Ruffalo – “Task” 48%

Sterling K. Brown – “Paradise” 47%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Noah Wyle – “The Pitt” 52%

Rufus Sewell – “The Diplomat” 48%

Mark Ruffalo – “Task” 48%

Sterling K. Brown – “Paradise” 47%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Noah Wyle – “The Pitt”

$58 Обс.

50%

Rufus Sewell – “The Diplomat”

$0 Обс.

48%

Mark Ruffalo – “Task”

$18 Обс.

48%

Sterling K. Brown – “Paradise”

$18 Обс.

47%

Gary Oldman – “Slow Horses”

$38 Обс.

47%

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actor in a drama series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Noah Wyle holds the strongest position among the five nominees for Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series, driven by “The Pitt”’s dominant 25-nomination haul and his repeat frontrunner status after winning the category in 2025.** The HBO Max medical drama’s critical and awards momentum, including multiple acting nods, has consolidated trader consensus around Wyle’s performance as Dr. Robby Robinavitch. Gary Oldman (“Slow Horses”) and Mark Ruffalo (“Task”) sit close behind at roughly 60% implied probability, reflecting their established industry regard and strong seasons, while Rufus Sewell (“The Diplomat”) and Sterling K. Brown (“Paradise”) trail slightly amid a crowded field. With the ceremony weeks away, guild and critic momentum plus late-season buzz remain key swing factors in this closely watched race.

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California

This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actor in a drama series”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$132
Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 9, 2026, 9:08 PM ET
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actor in a drama series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actor in a drama series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Noah Wyle holds the strongest position among the five nominees for Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series, driven by “The Pitt”’s dominant 25-nomination haul and his repeat frontrunner status after winning the category in 2025.** The HBO Max medical drama’s critical and awards momentum, including multiple acting nods, has consolidated trader consensus around Wyle’s performance as Dr. Robby Robinavitch. Gary Oldman (“Slow Horses”) and Mark Ruffalo (“Task”) sit close behind at roughly 60% implied probability, reflecting their established industry regard and strong seasons, while Rufus Sewell (“The Diplomat”) and Sterling K. Brown (“Paradise”) trail slightly amid a crowded field. With the ceremony weeks away, guild and critic momentum plus late-season buzz remain key swing factors in this closely watched race.

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California

This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actor in a drama series”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$132
Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 9, 2026, 9:08 PM ET
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actor in a drama series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 5 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Noah Wyle – “The Pitt”» з 72%, далі «Rufus Sewell – “The Diplomat”» з 70%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Jul 9, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series», перегляньте 5 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series» — «Noah Wyle – “The Pitt”» з 72%. Наступний — «Rufus Sewell – “The Diplomat”» з 70%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.