Enzo Maresca leads trader sentiment as the clear frontrunner to succeed Pep Guardiola at Manchester City, driven by multiple reports this month of high-level talks and an agreement in principle for a two-year deal if the current manager departs this summer. Guardiola has repeatedly stated he has one year remaining on his contract and plans to continue, yet City’s contingency planning has elevated Maresca’s profile given his recent Premier League experience. Secondary options such as Roberto De Zerbi, Luis Enrique, and Carlo Ancelotti trail with lower implied probabilities, reflecting their established track records but less direct connection to City’s current succession timeline. Market pricing captures the uncertainty surrounding Guardiola’s future while prioritizing Maresca’s reported inside track.