Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen commands a commanding 66.5% implied probability as the First Semi-Final winner, propelled by topping jury rehearsals two days ago, a decisive OGAE fan poll victory last week, and bookmaker consensus pre-show, culminating in a polished violin-disco staging that dominated viewer buzz during Tuesday's live performances in Vienna. Greece's "Ferto" by Akylas (14.5%) and Israel's "Michelle" by Noam Bettan (13.5%) trail as strong qualifiers with infectious hooks and regional televote strength, while Croatia's "Andromeda" holds 6.3% on vocal prowess. All top contenders advanced among the 10 qualifiers, but full jury-televote tallies—revealed post-Grand Final—remain the key resolution catalyst amid shifting post-semi sentiment.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоEurovision 2026: First Semi-Final Winner
Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final Winner
Finland 67%
Greece 15%
Israel 14%
Croatia 6.3%
$194,731 Обс.
$194,731 Обс.
May 12, 2026
Finland
67%
Greece
15%
Israel
14%
Croatia
6%
Lithuania
3%
Moldova
3%
Serbia
1%
Sweden
<1%
Poland
<1%
Georgia
<1%
San Marino
<1%
Belgium
<1%
Estonia
<1%
Montenegro
<1%
Portugal
<1%
Finland 67%
Greece 15%
Israel 14%
Croatia 6.3%
$194,731 Обс.
$194,731 Обс.
May 12, 2026
Finland
$22,744 Обс.
67%
Greece
$17,672 Обс.
15%
Israel
$11,004 Обс.
14%
Croatia
$20,462 Обс.
6%
Lithuania
$12,557 Обс.
3%
Moldova
$24,419 Обс.
3%
Serbia
$10,985 Обс.
1%
Sweden
$13,809 Обс.
<1%
Poland
$13,634 Обс.
<1%
Georgia
$8,374 Обс.
<1%
San Marino
$7,360 Обс.
<1%
Belgium
$7,799 Обс.
<1%
Estonia
$7,600 Обс.
<1%
Montenegro
$7,147 Обс.
<1%
Portugal
$9,164 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen commands a commanding 66.5% implied probability as the First Semi-Final winner, propelled by topping jury rehearsals two days ago, a decisive OGAE fan poll victory last week, and bookmaker consensus pre-show, culminating in a polished violin-disco staging that dominated viewer buzz during Tuesday's live performances in Vienna. Greece's "Ferto" by Akylas (14.5%) and Israel's "Michelle" by Noam Bettan (13.5%) trail as strong qualifiers with infectious hooks and regional televote strength, while Croatia's "Andromeda" holds 6.3% on vocal prowess. All top contenders advanced among the 10 qualifiers, but full jury-televote tallies—revealed post-Grand Final—remain the key resolution catalyst amid shifting post-semi sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Ринок відкрито: May 7, 2026, 11:45 AM ET
Обсяг
$194,731Дата завершення
May 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 7, 2026, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen commands a commanding 66.5% implied probability as the First Semi-Final winner, propelled by topping jury rehearsals two days ago, a decisive OGAE fan poll victory last week, and bookmaker consensus pre-show, culminating in a polished violin-disco staging that dominated viewer buzz during Tuesday's live performances in Vienna. Greece's "Ferto" by Akylas (14.5%) and Israel's "Michelle" by Noam Bettan (13.5%) trail as strong qualifiers with infectious hooks and regional televote strength, while Croatia's "Andromeda" holds 6.3% on vocal prowess. All top contenders advanced among the 10 qualifiers, but full jury-televote tallies—revealed post-Grand Final—remain the key resolution catalyst amid shifting post-semi sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Обсяг
$194,731Дата завершення
May 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 7, 2026, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen commands a commanding 66.5% implied probability as the First Semi-Final winner, propelled by topping jury rehearsals two days ago, a decisive OGAE fan poll victory last week, and bookmaker consensus pre-show, culminating in a polished violin-disco staging that dominated viewer buzz during Tuesday's live performances in Vienna. Greece's "Ferto" by Akylas (14.5%) and Israel's "Michelle" by Noam Bettan (13.5%) trail as strong qualifiers with infectious hooks and regional televote strength, while Croatia's "Andromeda" holds 6.3% on vocal prowess. All top contenders advanced among the 10 qualifiers, but full jury-televote tallies—revealed post-Grand Final—remain the key resolution catalyst amid shifting post-semi sentiment.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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