Kimi Antonelli enters the Italian Grand Prix as the clear market leader for pole position at 27% implied probability, driven by his commanding 2026 championship lead with six wins and six poles already secured in a dominant Mercedes campaign. The Italian driver's strong recent form, including podiums and victories through the summer, combines with Monza's high-speed layout suiting his car's power unit and setup strengths, plus home-nation momentum. A potential engine penalty adds slight uncertainty but has not shifted trader consensus significantly. The clustered 14% probabilities for Leclerc, Norris, Piastri, Hamilton, and Russell reflect the field's parity among top teams, where qualifying battles often hinge on minor aero tweaks, tire management, and track evolution rather than outright dominance. Verstappen trails at 8% amid Red Bull's inconsistent one-lap pace this season.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоKimi Antonelli 27%
Lando Norris 14%
Lewis Hamilton 14%
Oscar Piastri 14%
Kimi Antonelli
27%
Lando Norris
14%
Lewis Hamilton
14%
Oscar Piastri
14%
George Russell
14%
Charles Leclerc
14%
Max Verstappen
8%
Valtteri Bottas
5%
Oliver Bearman
5%
Pierre Gasly
3%
Fernando Alonso
3%
Franco Colapinto
3%
Nico Hulkenberg
3%
Arvid Lindblad
3%
Liam Lawson
3%
Isack Hadjar
3%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Sergio Perez
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Kimi Antonelli 27%
Lando Norris 14%
Lewis Hamilton 14%
Oscar Piastri 14%
Kimi Antonelli
27%
Lando Norris
14%
Lewis Hamilton
14%
Oscar Piastri
14%
George Russell
14%
Charles Leclerc
14%
Max Verstappen
8%
Valtteri Bottas
5%
Oliver Bearman
5%
Pierre Gasly
3%
Fernando Alonso
3%
Franco Colapinto
3%
Nico Hulkenberg
3%
Arvid Lindblad
3%
Liam Lawson
3%
Isack Hadjar
3%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Sergio Perez
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 12, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 8, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 12, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kimi Antonelli enters the Italian Grand Prix as the clear market leader for pole position at 27% implied probability, driven by his commanding 2026 championship lead with six wins and six poles already secured in a dominant Mercedes campaign. The Italian driver's strong recent form, including podiums and victories through the summer, combines with Monza's high-speed layout suiting his car's power unit and setup strengths, plus home-nation momentum. A potential engine penalty adds slight uncertainty but has not shifted trader consensus significantly. The clustered 14% probabilities for Leclerc, Norris, Piastri, Hamilton, and Russell reflect the field's parity among top teams, where qualifying battles often hinge on minor aero tweaks, tire management, and track evolution rather than outright dominance. Verstappen trails at 8% amid Red Bull's inconsistent one-lap pace this season.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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