Trader consensus prices USA at 40.5% and Türkiye at 36.0% to win Group D, reflecting a razor-thin host-nation edge for the USMNT tempered by Türkiye's potent form, including their gritty UEFA playoff triumph over Kosovo on March 31 and a 2-1 friendly victory over the USA last June. Recent USMNT friendlies yielded narrow 2-1 wins over Paraguay and Australia in late 2025, underscoring the group's parity with no dominant force amid defensive-minded tactics across all four. Paraguay's CONMEBOL pedigree and Australia's Socceroos resilience position them as live third-place threats in a top-two-advance format (plus best third), fueled by balanced head-to-head familiarity and high-stakes group stage dynamics at US venues like Inglewood and Santa Clara.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоUSA 41%
Türkiye 36%
Paraguay 18%
Australia 7.7%
$43,348 Обс.
$43,348 Обс.
USA
41%
Türkiye
36%
Paraguay
18%
Australia
8%
USA 41%
Türkiye 36%
Paraguay 18%
Australia 7.7%
$43,348 Обс.
$43,348 Обс.
USA
41%
Türkiye
36%
Paraguay
18%
Australia
8%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices USA at 40.5% and Türkiye at 36.0% to win Group D, reflecting a razor-thin host-nation edge for the USMNT tempered by Türkiye's potent form, including their gritty UEFA playoff triumph over Kosovo on March 31 and a 2-1 friendly victory over the USA last June. Recent USMNT friendlies yielded narrow 2-1 wins over Paraguay and Australia in late 2025, underscoring the group's parity with no dominant force amid defensive-minded tactics across all four. Paraguay's CONMEBOL pedigree and Australia's Socceroos resilience position them as live third-place threats in a top-two-advance format (plus best third), fueled by balanced head-to-head familiarity and high-stakes group stage dynamics at US venues like Inglewood and Santa Clara.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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