France's status as two-time world champions with unmatched squad depth and recent friendly wins over Brazil and Colombia has solidified trader consensus around their 70.5% implied probability to top Group I. Norway's return to the tournament after nearly three decades, powered by Erling Haaland's elite form, supports their 21.5% share as the main challenger for second. Senegal's unbeaten qualifying campaign and strong recent AFCON performance underpin their 8.5% positioning, while Iraq's limited international pedigree and playoff qualification path keep their chances at just 0.9%. The June group stage opener at MetLife Stadium between France and Senegal will set the early tone for advancement.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоFrance 71%
Norway 22%
Senegal 9%
Iraq <1%
$141,194 Обс.
$141,194 Обс.
France
71%
Norway
22%
Senegal
9%
Iraq
1%
France 71%
Norway 22%
Senegal 9%
Iraq <1%
$141,194 Обс.
$141,194 Обс.
France
71%
Norway
22%
Senegal
9%
Iraq
1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...France's status as two-time world champions with unmatched squad depth and recent friendly wins over Brazil and Colombia has solidified trader consensus around their 70.5% implied probability to top Group I. Norway's return to the tournament after nearly three decades, powered by Erling Haaland's elite form, supports their 21.5% share as the main challenger for second. Senegal's unbeaten qualifying campaign and strong recent AFCON performance underpin their 8.5% positioning, while Iraq's limited international pedigree and playoff qualification path keep their chances at just 0.9%. The June group stage opener at MetLife Stadium between France and Senegal will set the early tone for advancement.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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