A strong El Niño event has created persistently high wind shear and cooler Atlantic sea surface temperatures, suppressing tropical cyclone intensification and driving the current market pricing. As of mid-September 2026, the basin has recorded only five named tropical storms and zero hurricanes, shattering the satellite-era record for the latest first hurricane past the climatological peak around September 10. This activity level sits at roughly 7% of normal accumulated cyclone energy. With the season extending through November 30, forecasters note lingering unfavorable conditions that keep a zero-hurricane outcome plausible, while historical precedent and residual late-season windows support the leading 1-3 range implied by trader consensus. NOAA’s August outlook projected 2-6 hurricanes under below-normal conditions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHow many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
1-3 62%
0 37%
4-6 3.5%
7+ <1%
$31,305 Обс.
$31,305 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
0
37%
1-3
62%
4-6
3%
7+
<1%
1-3 62%
0 37%
4-6 3.5%
7+ <1%
$31,305 Обс.
$31,305 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
0
$17,015 Обс.
37%
1-3
$5,372 Обс.
62%
4-6
$6,694 Обс.
3%
7+
$2,224 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.A strong El Niño event has created persistently high wind shear and cooler Atlantic sea surface temperatures, suppressing tropical cyclone intensification and driving the current market pricing. As of mid-September 2026, the basin has recorded only five named tropical storms and zero hurricanes, shattering the satellite-era record for the latest first hurricane past the climatological peak around September 10. This activity level sits at roughly 7% of normal accumulated cyclone energy. With the season extending through November 30, forecasters note lingering unfavorable conditions that keep a zero-hurricane outcome plausible, while historical precedent and residual late-season windows support the leading 1-3 range implied by trader consensus. NOAA’s August outlook projected 2-6 hurricanes under below-normal conditions.
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 28, 2026, 4:49 PM ET
Обсяг
$31,305Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jul 28, 2026, 4:49 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.A strong El Niño event has created persistently high wind shear and cooler Atlantic sea surface temperatures, suppressing tropical cyclone intensification and driving the current market pricing. As of mid-September 2026, the basin has recorded only five named tropical storms and zero hurricanes, shattering the satellite-era record for the latest first hurricane past the climatological peak around September 10. This activity level sits at roughly 7% of normal accumulated cyclone energy. With the season extending through November 30, forecasters note lingering unfavorable conditions that keep a zero-hurricane outcome plausible, while historical precedent and residual late-season windows support the leading 1-3 range implied by trader consensus. NOAA’s August outlook projected 2-6 hurricanes under below-normal conditions.
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
Обсяг
$31,305Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jul 28, 2026, 4:49 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...A strong El Niño event has created persistently high wind shear and cooler Atlantic sea surface temperatures, suppressing tropical cyclone intensification and driving the current market pricing. As of mid-September 2026, the basin has recorded only five named tropical storms and zero hurricanes, shattering the satellite-era record for the latest first hurricane past the climatological peak around September 10. This activity level sits at roughly 7% of normal accumulated cyclone energy. With the season extending through November 30, forecasters note lingering unfavorable conditions that keep a zero-hurricane outcome plausible, while historical precedent and residual late-season windows support the leading 1-3 range implied by trader consensus. NOAA’s August outlook projected 2-6 hurricanes under below-normal conditions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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