Jack Doherty’s entry into Miami-Dade’s felony drug pre-trial diversion program after his November 2025 arrest on controlled-substance, marijuana, and resisting-arrest charges has anchored trader expectations that he will avoid conviction entirely. Prosecutors dropped the marijuana count, and his May 2026 house-arrest period with an ankle monitor reflects standard program compliance rather than active prosecution. With resolution tied to successful completion by late October, the 86.9% implied probability on “No Prison Time” mirrors the low risk of a full trial or sentence absent major violations. Minor remaining charges and the streamer’s celebrity resources further tilt outcomes away from the slim <2-year or longer buckets.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоJack Doherty Prison Time?
No Prison Time 87.5%
2-5 Years 7.5%
<2 Years 7.3%
5+ Years 2.7%
$22,451 Обс.
$22,451 Обс.
No Prison Time
88%
<2 Years
7%
2-5 Years
7%
5+ Years
3%
No Prison Time 87.5%
2-5 Years 7.5%
<2 Years 7.3%
5+ Years 2.7%
$22,451 Обс.
$22,451 Обс.
No Prison Time
88%
<2 Years
7%
2-5 Years
7%
5+ Years
3%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 20, 2025, 6:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jack Doherty’s entry into Miami-Dade’s felony drug pre-trial diversion program after his November 2025 arrest on controlled-substance, marijuana, and resisting-arrest charges has anchored trader expectations that he will avoid conviction entirely. Prosecutors dropped the marijuana count, and his May 2026 house-arrest period with an ankle monitor reflects standard program compliance rather than active prosecution. With resolution tied to successful completion by late October, the 86.9% implied probability on “No Prison Time” mirrors the low risk of a full trial or sentence absent major violations. Minor remaining charges and the streamer’s celebrity resources further tilt outcomes away from the slim <2-year or longer buckets.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено


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