Uba Sani holds a modest lead in trader consensus for the 2027 Kaduna governorship as the incumbent APC candidate who secured his party's nomination unchallenged in May 2026. His late July selection of Jerry Adams, a Christian from Southern Kaduna, as running mate has drawn attention for shifting away from the prior Muslim-Muslim ticket toward broader regional and religious inclusion. This move aligns with efforts to consolidate support across Kaduna's diverse voting blocs amid ongoing security and development priorities. A fragmented opposition field, including Isa Mohammed Ashiru of the ADC, Danjuma Laah of the NDC, and Shehu Bawa of the PDP, has kept probabilities tight by splitting potential anti-incumbent votes without a unified challenger emerging. Upcoming party primaries, campaign launches, and any shifts in alliances could widen or narrow gaps ahead of the election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоUba Sani 44%
Auwal Tafoki 30%
Shehu Bawa 29%
Aminu Abdulfatah 29%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Feb 6, 2027
Uba Sani
54%
Auwal Tafoki
30%
Shehu Bawa
29%
Aminu Abdulfatah
29%
Mohammed Ashiru Isa
23%
Danjuma Laah
21%
Uba Sani 44%
Auwal Tafoki 30%
Shehu Bawa 29%
Aminu Abdulfatah 29%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Feb 6, 2027
Uba Sani
$20 Обс.
54%
Auwal Tafoki
$0 Обс.
30%
Shehu Bawa
$0 Обс.
29%
Aminu Abdulfatah
$0 Обс.
29%
Mohammed Ashiru Isa
$0 Обс.
23%
Danjuma Laah
$0 Обс.
21%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kaduna State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Uba Sani holds a modest lead in trader consensus for the 2027 Kaduna governorship as the incumbent APC candidate who secured his party's nomination unchallenged in May 2026. His late July selection of Jerry Adams, a Christian from Southern Kaduna, as running mate has drawn attention for shifting away from the prior Muslim-Muslim ticket toward broader regional and religious inclusion. This move aligns with efforts to consolidate support across Kaduna's diverse voting blocs amid ongoing security and development priorities. A fragmented opposition field, including Isa Mohammed Ashiru of the ADC, Danjuma Laah of the NDC, and Shehu Bawa of the PDP, has kept probabilities tight by splitting potential anti-incumbent votes without a unified challenger emerging. Upcoming party primaries, campaign launches, and any shifts in alliances could widen or narrow gaps ahead of the election.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kaduna State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 21, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Обсяг
$20Дата завершення
Feb 6, 2027Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kaduna State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Uba Sani holds a modest lead in trader consensus for the 2027 Kaduna governorship as the incumbent APC candidate who secured his party's nomination unchallenged in May 2026. His late July selection of Jerry Adams, a Christian from Southern Kaduna, as running mate has drawn attention for shifting away from the prior Muslim-Muslim ticket toward broader regional and religious inclusion. This move aligns with efforts to consolidate support across Kaduna's diverse voting blocs amid ongoing security and development priorities. A fragmented opposition field, including Isa Mohammed Ashiru of the ADC, Danjuma Laah of the NDC, and Shehu Bawa of the PDP, has kept probabilities tight by splitting potential anti-incumbent votes without a unified challenger emerging. Upcoming party primaries, campaign launches, and any shifts in alliances could widen or narrow gaps ahead of the election.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kaduna State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Обсяг
$20Дата завершення
Feb 6, 2027Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Uba Sani holds a modest lead in trader consensus for the 2027 Kaduna governorship as the incumbent APC candidate who secured his party's nomination unchallenged in May 2026. His late July selection of Jerry Adams, a Christian from Southern Kaduna, as running mate has drawn attention for shifting away from the prior Muslim-Muslim ticket toward broader regional and religious inclusion. This move aligns with efforts to consolidate support across Kaduna's diverse voting blocs amid ongoing security and development priorities. A fragmented opposition field, including Isa Mohammed Ashiru of the ADC, Danjuma Laah of the NDC, and Shehu Bawa of the PDP, has kept probabilities tight by splitting potential anti-incumbent votes without a unified challenger emerging. Upcoming party primaries, campaign launches, and any shifts in alliances could widen or narrow gaps ahead of the election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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