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Фінанси·Бізнес

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

icon for NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
Фінанси·Бізнес

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

20% шанс
Polymarket

$52,463 Обс.

20% шанс
Polymarket

$52,463 Обс.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a marketwide circuit breaker is triggered on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at any time between November 7, 2025, and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A marketwide circuit breaker is defined as a trading halt that is initiated due to significant declines in the S&P 500 Index, specifically a Level 1, Level 2, or Level 3 halt as per NYSE rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NYSE, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 80.5% implied probability against a NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027, reflecting sustained S&P 500 resilience at record highs amid the ongoing AI infrastructure buildout and de-escalating geopolitical tensions, such as the recent Iran conflict resolution. No marketwide halts have triggered since March 2020's COVID crash, despite intermittent drawdowns like the 9% intra-year dip earlier in 2026 that quickly reversed with a 12% rebound. The VIX fear gauge remains moderate at around 18 as of May 12, 2026—well below crash thresholds above 30—supported by resilient earnings breadth and anticipated Federal Reserve policy continuity under a potential new chair. While overbought technicals and oil price swings pose tail risks, the wisdom of crowds with real capital at stake underscores low near-term crash odds versus historical base rates. Key catalysts ahead include Q2 earnings and FOMC meetings.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a marketwide circuit breaker is triggered on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at any time between November 7, 2025, and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A marketwide circuit breaker is defined as a trading halt that is initiated due to significant declines in the S&P 500 Index, specifically a Level 1, Level 2, or Level 3 halt as per NYSE rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NYSE, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$52,463
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 7, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a marketwide circuit breaker is triggered on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at any time between November 7, 2025, and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A marketwide circuit breaker is defined as a trading halt that is initiated due to significant declines in the S&P 500 Index, specifically a Level 1, Level 2, or Level 3 halt as per NYSE rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NYSE, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a marketwide circuit breaker is triggered on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at any time between November 7, 2025, and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A marketwide circuit breaker is defined as a trading halt that is initiated due to significant declines in the S&P 500 Index, specifically a Level 1, Level 2, or Level 3 halt as per NYSE rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NYSE, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 80.5% implied probability against a NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027, reflecting sustained S&P 500 resilience at record highs amid the ongoing AI infrastructure buildout and de-escalating geopolitical tensions, such as the recent Iran conflict resolution. No marketwide halts have triggered since March 2020's COVID crash, despite intermittent drawdowns like the 9% intra-year dip earlier in 2026 that quickly reversed with a 12% rebound. The VIX fear gauge remains moderate at around 18 as of May 12, 2026—well below crash thresholds above 30—supported by resilient earnings breadth and anticipated Federal Reserve policy continuity under a potential new chair. While overbought technicals and oil price swings pose tail risks, the wisdom of crowds with real capital at stake underscores low near-term crash odds versus historical base rates. Key catalysts ahead include Q2 earnings and FOMC meetings.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a marketwide circuit breaker is triggered on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at any time between November 7, 2025, and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A marketwide circuit breaker is defined as a trading halt that is initiated due to significant declines in the S&P 500 Index, specifically a Level 1, Level 2, or Level 3 halt as per NYSE rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NYSE, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$52,463
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 7, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a marketwide circuit breaker is triggered on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at any time between November 7, 2025, and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A marketwide circuit breaker is defined as a trading halt that is initiated due to significant declines in the S&P 500 Index, specifically a Level 1, Level 2, or Level 3 halt as per NYSE rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NYSE, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 20% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 20¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 20%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?» згенерував $52.5K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Nov 7, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?» — 20% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 20% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.