With the 2027 Oscars still months away, trader sentiment in the Best Adapted Screenplay market shows a tightly contested field where no single film has pulled decisively ahead. The Odyssey leads at 42% implied probability, followed by Saturn Return and Cry to Heaven in the low-to-mid 30s, reflecting early buzz around high-profile literary adaptations and established directors. Project Hail Mary, Ink, and The Adventures of Cliff Booth sit just behind, supported by strong source material and studio momentum, while Dune: Part Three and Toy Story 5 trail further due to franchise expectations and category fit questions. This even spread stems from the early 2026 release window, where most contenders have yet to screen for voters; upcoming festival premieres, guild nominations, and critical reception will likely create clearer separation as the campaign cycle intensifies.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоOscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner
The Odyssey 36%
The Black Ball 31%
All of a Sudden 26%
Clarissa 25%
The Odyssey
36%
The Black Ball
31%
All of a Sudden
26%
Clarissa
25%
Cry to Heaven
25%
Project Hail Mary
24%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
24%
Saturn Return
23%
Ink
22%
The Invite
21%
Wildwood
21%
The Whisper Man
21%
The Social Reckoning
20%
Dune: Part Three
18%
Toy Story 5
17%
The Odyssey 36%
The Black Ball 31%
All of a Sudden 26%
Clarissa 25%
The Odyssey
36%
The Black Ball
31%
All of a Sudden
26%
Clarissa
25%
Cry to Heaven
25%
Project Hail Mary
24%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
24%
Saturn Return
23%
Ink
22%
The Invite
21%
Wildwood
21%
The Whisper Man
21%
The Social Reckoning
20%
Dune: Part Three
18%
Toy Story 5
17%
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...With the 2027 Oscars still months away, trader sentiment in the Best Adapted Screenplay market shows a tightly contested field where no single film has pulled decisively ahead. The Odyssey leads at 42% implied probability, followed by Saturn Return and Cry to Heaven in the low-to-mid 30s, reflecting early buzz around high-profile literary adaptations and established directors. Project Hail Mary, Ink, and The Adventures of Cliff Booth sit just behind, supported by strong source material and studio momentum, while Dune: Part Three and Toy Story 5 trail further due to franchise expectations and category fit questions. This even spread stems from the early 2026 release window, where most contenders have yet to screen for voters; upcoming festival premieres, guild nominations, and critical reception will likely create clearer separation as the campaign cycle intensifies.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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