The Black Ball (La Bola Negra) leads trader sentiment at 68.5% implied probability thanks to its standout Cannes 2026 premiere, where directors Javier Ambrossi and Javier Calvo claimed the Best Director prize for the ambitious Spanish Netflix drama spanning decades of queer history. Early industry lists from Variety and awards sites highlight its frontrunner status, buoyed by strong critical buzz, high-profile talent including Penélope Cruz, and Academy-friendly themes that align with recent voting patterns favoring bold international narratives. Other contenders such as All of a Sudden, Fjord, Minotaur, and Possible Love sit near even odds amid limited releases and festival circuits still ahead, while lower-probability titles face steeper barriers in securing submissions and precursor momentum before the 2027 ceremony.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоOscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Winner
The Black Ball 67%
Minotaur 42%
Sheep in the Box 42%
The Beloved 41%
The Black Ball
67%
Minotaur
42%
Sheep in the Box
42%
The Beloved
41%
The Dreamed Adventure
38%
Fatherland
37%
Rose
37%
Possible Love
37%
The Man I Love
37%
Parallel Tales
36%
All of a Sudden
35%
Hope
34%
Bitter Christmas
29%
Fjord
27%
Coward
22%
The Black Ball 67%
Minotaur 42%
Sheep in the Box 42%
The Beloved 41%
The Black Ball
67%
Minotaur
42%
Sheep in the Box
42%
The Beloved
41%
The Dreamed Adventure
38%
Fatherland
37%
Rose
37%
Possible Love
37%
The Man I Love
37%
Parallel Tales
36%
All of a Sudden
35%
Hope
34%
Bitter Christmas
29%
Fjord
27%
Coward
22%
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 6, 2026, 4:34 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Black Ball (La Bola Negra) leads trader sentiment at 68.5% implied probability thanks to its standout Cannes 2026 premiere, where directors Javier Ambrossi and Javier Calvo claimed the Best Director prize for the ambitious Spanish Netflix drama spanning decades of queer history. Early industry lists from Variety and awards sites highlight its frontrunner status, buoyed by strong critical buzz, high-profile talent including Penélope Cruz, and Academy-friendly themes that align with recent voting patterns favoring bold international narratives. Other contenders such as All of a Sudden, Fjord, Minotaur, and Possible Love sit near even odds amid limited releases and festival circuits still ahead, while lower-probability titles face steeper barriers in securing submissions and precursor momentum before the 2027 ceremony.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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