With leading contenders like Wild Horse Nine holding the strongest market-implied position at 40.5% while a wide field of titles sits near 50%, trader sentiment reflects the highly uncertain early stage of the 2026 awards cycle. No single film has yet accumulated decisive guild or critics’ circle momentum, leaving outcomes dependent on upcoming festival premieres, critical reception, and eventual guild nominations from groups such as the Writers Guild. Historical patterns show original screenplay races often shift dramatically once precursor awards begin, making late-year releases and strong reviews key swing factors that could consolidate or fragment current probabilities before the 2027 ceremony.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоOscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner
Wild Horse Nine 41%
Fjord 8%
Digger 8%
Josephine 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Mar 14, 2027
Wild Horse Nine
41%
Fjord
8%
Digger
8%
Josephine
5%
Obsession
5%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
5%
The Invite
5%
The Drama
5%
The Odyssey
4%
A Place in Hell
4%
Club Kid
3%
Fatherland
3%
Elsinore
3%
The Debut
2%
Forgotten Island
2%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
2%
The Black Ball
2%
Wild Horse Nine 41%
Fjord 8%
Digger 8%
Josephine 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Mar 14, 2027
Wild Horse Nine
$640 Обс.
41%
Fjord
$43 Обс.
8%
Digger
$259 Обс.
8%
Josephine
$56 Обс.
5%
Obsession
$36 Обс.
5%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
$56 Обс.
5%
The Invite
$36 Обс.
5%
The Drama
$36 Обс.
5%
The Odyssey
$56 Обс.
4%
A Place in Hell
$56 Обс.
4%
Club Kid
$36 Обс.
3%
Fatherland
$36 Обс.
3%
Elsinore
$36 Обс.
3%
The Debut
$44 Обс.
2%
Forgotten Island
$36 Обс.
2%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
$44 Обс.
2%
The Black Ball
$36 Обс.
2%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With leading contenders like Wild Horse Nine holding the strongest market-implied position at 40.5% while a wide field of titles sits near 50%, trader sentiment reflects the highly uncertain early stage of the 2026 awards cycle. No single film has yet accumulated decisive guild or critics’ circle momentum, leaving outcomes dependent on upcoming festival premieres, critical reception, and eventual guild nominations from groups such as the Writers Guild. Historical patterns show original screenplay races often shift dramatically once precursor awards begin, making late-year releases and strong reviews key swing factors that could consolidate or fragment current probabilities before the 2027 ceremony.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,536Дата завершення
Mar 14, 2027Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With leading contenders like Wild Horse Nine holding the strongest market-implied position at 40.5% while a wide field of titles sits near 50%, trader sentiment reflects the highly uncertain early stage of the 2026 awards cycle. No single film has yet accumulated decisive guild or critics’ circle momentum, leaving outcomes dependent on upcoming festival premieres, critical reception, and eventual guild nominations from groups such as the Writers Guild. Historical patterns show original screenplay races often shift dramatically once precursor awards begin, making late-year releases and strong reviews key swing factors that could consolidate or fragment current probabilities before the 2027 ceremony.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$1,536Дата завершення
Mar 14, 2027Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With leading contenders like Wild Horse Nine holding the strongest market-implied position at 40.5% while a wide field of titles sits near 50%, trader sentiment reflects the highly uncertain early stage of the 2026 awards cycle. No single film has yet accumulated decisive guild or critics’ circle momentum, leaving outcomes dependent on upcoming festival premieres, critical reception, and eventual guild nominations from groups such as the Writers Guild. Historical patterns show original screenplay races often shift dramatically once precursor awards begin, making late-year releases and strong reviews key swing factors that could consolidate or fragment current probabilities before the 2027 ceremony.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання