**The 79.5% implied probability on “No” for breaking Calvin Johnson’s 1,964-yard single-season receiving record in 2026 reflects the sustained difficulty of sustaining elite volume and efficiency across a full 17-game slate.** Recent benchmarks show the challenge: Jaxon Smith-Njigba’s league-leading 1,793 yards in 2025, Puka Nacua’s strong per-game pace with Matthew Stafford, and prior near-misses by Cooper Kupp (1,947 in 2021) and Justin Jefferson (1,809 in 2022) all fell short despite favorable offenses. Top 2026 candidates like Ja’Marr Chase, Nacua, Smith-Njigba, Amon-Ra St. Brown, and Jefferson face typical barriers including defensive adjustments, injury risk, target competition, and the need for an exceptional start-to-finish pace that has proven rare even in pass-heavy schemes. Trader consensus prices in this historical scarcity and the narrow margins required.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено20% шанс
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jan 26, 2027
20% шанс
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jan 26, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records more than 1,964 receiving yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season, thereby breaking the NFL single-season receiving yards record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The NFL single-season receiving yards record is 1,964, set by Calvin Johnson in 2012. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 1,964 receiving yards for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 1,964 receiving yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The 79.5% implied probability on “No” for breaking Calvin Johnson’s 1,964-yard single-season receiving record in 2026 reflects the sustained difficulty of sustaining elite volume and efficiency across a full 17-game slate.** Recent benchmarks show the challenge: Jaxon Smith-Njigba’s league-leading 1,793 yards in 2025, Puka Nacua’s strong per-game pace with Matthew Stafford, and prior near-misses by Cooper Kupp (1,947 in 2021) and Justin Jefferson (1,809 in 2022) all fell short despite favorable offenses. Top 2026 candidates like Ja’Marr Chase, Nacua, Smith-Njigba, Amon-Ra St. Brown, and Jefferson face typical barriers including defensive adjustments, injury risk, target competition, and the need for an exceptional start-to-finish pace that has proven rare even in pass-heavy schemes. Trader consensus prices in this historical scarcity and the narrow margins required.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records more than 1,964 receiving yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season, thereby breaking the NFL single-season receiving yards record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The NFL single-season receiving yards record is 1,964, set by Calvin Johnson in 2012. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 1,964 receiving yards for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 1,964 receiving yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The NFL single-season receiving yards record is 1,964, set by Calvin Johnson in 2012. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 1,964 receiving yards for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 1,964 receiving yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 4:23 PM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Jan 27, 2027Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 4:23 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records more than 1,964 receiving yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season, thereby breaking the NFL single-season receiving yards record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The NFL single-season receiving yards record is 1,964, set by Calvin Johnson in 2012. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 1,964 receiving yards for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 1,964 receiving yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The 79.5% implied probability on “No” for breaking Calvin Johnson’s 1,964-yard single-season receiving record in 2026 reflects the sustained difficulty of sustaining elite volume and efficiency across a full 17-game slate.** Recent benchmarks show the challenge: Jaxon Smith-Njigba’s league-leading 1,793 yards in 2025, Puka Nacua’s strong per-game pace with Matthew Stafford, and prior near-misses by Cooper Kupp (1,947 in 2021) and Justin Jefferson (1,809 in 2022) all fell short despite favorable offenses. Top 2026 candidates like Ja’Marr Chase, Nacua, Smith-Njigba, Amon-Ra St. Brown, and Jefferson face typical barriers including defensive adjustments, injury risk, target competition, and the need for an exceptional start-to-finish pace that has proven rare even in pass-heavy schemes. Trader consensus prices in this historical scarcity and the narrow margins required.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records more than 1,964 receiving yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season, thereby breaking the NFL single-season receiving yards record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The NFL single-season receiving yards record is 1,964, set by Calvin Johnson in 2012. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 1,964 receiving yards for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 1,964 receiving yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The NFL single-season receiving yards record is 1,964, set by Calvin Johnson in 2012. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 1,964 receiving yards for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 1,964 receiving yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Jan 27, 2027Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 4:23 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...**The 79.5% implied probability on “No” for breaking Calvin Johnson’s 1,964-yard single-season receiving record in 2026 reflects the sustained difficulty of sustaining elite volume and efficiency across a full 17-game slate.** Recent benchmarks show the challenge: Jaxon Smith-Njigba’s league-leading 1,793 yards in 2025, Puka Nacua’s strong per-game pace with Matthew Stafford, and prior near-misses by Cooper Kupp (1,947 in 2021) and Justin Jefferson (1,809 in 2022) all fell short despite favorable offenses. Top 2026 candidates like Ja’Marr Chase, Nacua, Smith-Njigba, Amon-Ra St. Brown, and Jefferson face typical barriers including defensive adjustments, injury risk, target competition, and the need for an exceptional start-to-finish pace that has proven rare even in pass-heavy schemes. Trader consensus prices in this historical scarcity and the narrow margins required.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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