**Reckless Ben (YouTuber Benjamin Schneider) faces ongoing misdemeanor charges tied to his investigation of a disputed $200,000 LEGO collection involving Bricks & Minifigs, but the market strongly favors him avoiding jail by year-end.** Recent developments reinforce this: Provo charges for disorderly conduct and criminal trespass were dismissed in mid-September 2026 “in the interest of justice” (though refilable), while the core American Fork stalking and residential picketing case remains in early stages with a preliminary hearing set for late September. Misdemeanor proceedings in Utah typically move slowly, often resolving in fines, probation, or short sentences rather than immediate incarceration, especially amid ongoing civil mediation and his continued public activity like opening a rival LEGO store. Trader consensus at 93% “No” reflects the low likelihood of swift conviction and sentencing within the narrow window. Realistic upset paths include an accelerated guilty plea with jail time or new charges, but current timelines and case momentum make those low-probability outcomes before December 31.