St. George Illawarra Dragons host the Dolphins at WIN Stadium in Round 22 on Friday night, with trader pricing reflecting a near-even contest driven by the Dragons’ home-ground edge and historical results against Queensland sides at the venue. The Dragons sit near the bottom of the ladder after a mixed run that includes a recent home defeat to the Titans, yet they have shown improved competitiveness in losses and hold a perfect record in prior NSW meetings against the Dolphins. The higher-placed Dolphins enter with strong attacking depth, boosted by Jack Bostock’s return from concussion and other bench reinforcements, though their recent form features inconsistency and a heavy loss. Fine conditions and a new referee add minor variables, while Dragons recall Moses Suli to the extended bench. Late team or injury developments around key halves or forwards could shift implied probabilities in either direction.