Recent actions by Somaliland’s House of Elders have driven trader consensus toward delayed parliamentary voting. In late April 2026 the Guurti approved a 27-month mandate extension for the House of Representatives and local councils, far exceeding the National Electoral Commission’s proposed 10-month postponement that cited security, technical, and drought-related obstacles. This institutional decision has anchored the leading probability on no election before 2027. The ruling Waddani party holds the strongest position among party-specific outcomes following its 2024 presidential victory, while UCID and Kulmiye register minimal support amid the extended timeline and ongoing preparations for any future vote.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоSomaliland Parliamentary Election Winner
Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner
No election before 2027 88%
Justice and Welfare (UCID) 2.2%
Kulmiye 1.1%
Waddani <1%
$18,392 Обс.
$18,392 Обс.
Mar 31, 2026
No election before 2027
80%
Justice and Welfare (UCID)
2%
Kulmiye
1%
Waddani
24%
No election before 2027 88%
Justice and Welfare (UCID) 2.2%
Kulmiye 1.1%
Waddani <1%
$18,392 Обс.
$18,392 Обс.
Mar 31, 2026
No election before 2027
$10,033 Обс.
80%
Justice and Welfare (UCID)
$3,877 Обс.
2%
Kulmiye
$2,458 Обс.
1%
Waddani
$2,023 Обс.
24%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Recent actions by Somaliland’s House of Elders have driven trader consensus toward delayed parliamentary voting. In late April 2026 the Guurti approved a 27-month mandate extension for the House of Representatives and local councils, far exceeding the National Electoral Commission’s proposed 10-month postponement that cited security, technical, and drought-related obstacles. This institutional decision has anchored the leading probability on no election before 2027. The ruling Waddani party holds the strongest position among party-specific outcomes following its 2024 presidential victory, while UCID and Kulmiye register minimal support amid the extended timeline and ongoing preparations for any future vote.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$18,392Дата завершення
Mar 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Recent actions by Somaliland’s House of Elders have driven trader consensus toward delayed parliamentary voting. In late April 2026 the Guurti approved a 27-month mandate extension for the House of Representatives and local councils, far exceeding the National Electoral Commission’s proposed 10-month postponement that cited security, technical, and drought-related obstacles. This institutional decision has anchored the leading probability on no election before 2027. The ruling Waddani party holds the strongest position among party-specific outcomes following its 2024 presidential victory, while UCID and Kulmiye register minimal support amid the extended timeline and ongoing preparations for any future vote.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Обсяг
$18,392Дата завершення
Mar 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent actions by Somaliland’s House of Elders have driven trader consensus toward delayed parliamentary voting. In late April 2026 the Guurti approved a 27-month mandate extension for the House of Representatives and local councils, far exceeding the National Electoral Commission’s proposed 10-month postponement that cited security, technical, and drought-related obstacles. This institutional decision has anchored the leading probability on no election before 2027. The ruling Waddani party holds the strongest position among party-specific outcomes following its 2024 presidential victory, while UCID and Kulmiye register minimal support amid the extended timeline and ongoing preparations for any future vote.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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