The commanding lead for no parliamentary election before 2027 reflects Somaliland authorities' March 2026 decision to extend sitting lawmakers' terms and shift the vote from its scheduled May 2026 date to March 2027. This action aligns with a pattern of repeated delays driven by logistical, constitutional, and security considerations, leaving the three recognized parties—UCID, Waddani, and Kulmiye—with limited immediate prospects for contesting seats. Trader pricing captures this timeline certainty while assigning minimal implied probability to any of the parties prevailing in the near term. A reversal of the extension, accelerated electoral preparations, or successful legal challenges could still alter the schedule within the resolution window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоSomaliland Parliamentary Election Winner
Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner
No election before 2027 95%
Justice and Welfare (UCID) 2.8%
Waddani 2.6%
Kulmiye 1.0%
$94,584 Обс.
$94,584 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
No election before 2027
95%
Justice and Welfare (UCID)
3%
Waddani
3%
Kulmiye
1%
No election before 2027 95%
Justice and Welfare (UCID) 2.8%
Waddani 2.6%
Kulmiye 1.0%
$94,584 Обс.
$94,584 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
No election before 2027
$84,770 Обс.
95%
Justice and Welfare (UCID)
$4,279 Обс.
3%
Waddani
$2,522 Обс.
3%
Kulmiye
$3,013 Обс.
1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).The commanding lead for no parliamentary election before 2027 reflects Somaliland authorities' March 2026 decision to extend sitting lawmakers' terms and shift the vote from its scheduled May 2026 date to March 2027. This action aligns with a pattern of repeated delays driven by logistical, constitutional, and security considerations, leaving the three recognized parties—UCID, Waddani, and Kulmiye—with limited immediate prospects for contesting seats. Trader pricing captures this timeline certainty while assigning minimal implied probability to any of the parties prevailing in the near term. A reversal of the extension, accelerated electoral preparations, or successful legal challenges could still alter the schedule within the resolution window.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$94,584Дата завершення
Mar 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).The commanding lead for no parliamentary election before 2027 reflects Somaliland authorities' March 2026 decision to extend sitting lawmakers' terms and shift the vote from its scheduled May 2026 date to March 2027. This action aligns with a pattern of repeated delays driven by logistical, constitutional, and security considerations, leaving the three recognized parties—UCID, Waddani, and Kulmiye—with limited immediate prospects for contesting seats. Trader pricing captures this timeline certainty while assigning minimal implied probability to any of the parties prevailing in the near term. A reversal of the extension, accelerated electoral preparations, or successful legal challenges could still alter the schedule within the resolution window.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Обсяг
$94,584Дата завершення
Mar 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The commanding lead for no parliamentary election before 2027 reflects Somaliland authorities' March 2026 decision to extend sitting lawmakers' terms and shift the vote from its scheduled May 2026 date to March 2027. This action aligns with a pattern of repeated delays driven by logistical, constitutional, and security considerations, leaving the three recognized parties—UCID, Waddani, and Kulmiye—with limited immediate prospects for contesting seats. Trader pricing captures this timeline certainty while assigning minimal implied probability to any of the parties prevailing in the near term. A reversal of the extension, accelerated electoral preparations, or successful legal challenges could still alter the schedule within the resolution window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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