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icon for SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?

SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?

icon for SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?

SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?

НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
Polymarket

$0.00 Обс.

Polymarket

August 31, 2026

$0 Обс.

16%

December 31, 2026

$0 Обс.

70%

June 30, 2027

$0 Обс.

46%

If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome. The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.SpaceX is accelerating Starship development toward its first Florida launch, with President Gwynne Shotwell recently outlining a path for Flight 13 potentially in July 2026, followed by monthly cadence and an initial East Coast flight from new pads at Cape Canaveral Space Force Station’s SLC-37 or Kennedy Space Center’s LC-39A before year-end. Infrastructure buildout, including multiple launch and landing towers plus a manufacturing site, continues in parallel with ongoing environmental reviews, while Flight 12’s May success with Block 3 hardware from Texas demonstrated incremental vehicle improvements. Traders are weighing these timelines against typical regulatory, construction, and test-flight slippage risks that have historically delayed ambitious targets.

If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$0
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Jun 17, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome. The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome. The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.SpaceX is accelerating Starship development toward its first Florida launch, with President Gwynne Shotwell recently outlining a path for Flight 13 potentially in July 2026, followed by monthly cadence and an initial East Coast flight from new pads at Cape Canaveral Space Force Station’s SLC-37 or Kennedy Space Center’s LC-39A before year-end. Infrastructure buildout, including multiple launch and landing towers plus a manufacturing site, continues in parallel with ongoing environmental reviews, while Flight 12’s May success with Block 3 hardware from Texas demonstrated incremental vehicle improvements. Traders are weighing these timelines against typical regulatory, construction, and test-flight slippage risks that have historically delayed ambitious targets.

If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$0
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Jun 17, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome. The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 3 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «December 31, 2026» з 70%, далі «June 30, 2027» з 46%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Jun 17, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?», перегляньте 3 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?» — «December 31, 2026» з 70%. Наступний — «June 30, 2027» з 46%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.