Carlos Alcaraz enters as the betting favorite to reach the 2026 US Open men's final despite a four-month wrist injury layoff, with his talent and defending-champion status outweighing rust concerns in trader pricing. Jannik Sinner's right-knee withdrawal has opened the draw, elevating top seed Alexander Zverev (French Open champion with strong 2026 results), Novak Djokovic, and in-form Americans Ben Shelton and Taylor Fritz. Arthur Fils and Rafael Jodar stand out as bracket outliers with elevated implied probabilities based on recent hard-court momentum. Key variables include Alcaraz's opening test against Roman Safiullin, quarter-by-quarter bracket difficulty, and the physical demands of best-of-five sets on DecoTurf for returning or aging players. Recent North American swing results heavily influence current consensus on semifinal paths.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$24,299 Обс.
Alexander Zverev
42%
Carlos Alcaraz
30%
Felix Auger-Aliassime
30%
Taylor Fritz
29%
Flavio Cobolli
25%
Frances Tiafoe
24%
Novak Djokovic
12%
Rafael Jodar
27%
Daniil Medvedev
15%
Ben Shelton
14%
Arthur Fils
12%
Jakub Mensik
31%
Brandon Nakashima
8%
Learner Tien
5%
Alex de Minaur
5%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
5%
Alexander Bublik
5%
Luciano Darderi
5%
Valentin Vacherot
5%
Michael Zheng
5%
Lorenzo Musetti
4%
Tommy Paul
4%
Alejandro Tabilo
4%
Arthur Rinderknech
4%
Carlos Taberner
4%
Gael Monfils
4%
Dane Sweeny
4%
J.J. Wolf
4%
Thanasi Kokkinakis
4%
Filip Misolic
4%
Jiri Lehecka
3%
Juncheng Shang
3%
Darwin Blanch
3%
Andrey Rublev
3%
Sebastian Gorzny
3%
Cameron Norrie
2%
Francisco Cerundolo
2%
Alexander Blockx
2%
Zizou Bergs
2%
Jack Kennedy
<1%
$24,299 Обс.
Alexander Zverev
42%
Carlos Alcaraz
30%
Felix Auger-Aliassime
30%
Taylor Fritz
29%
Flavio Cobolli
25%
Frances Tiafoe
24%
Novak Djokovic
12%
Rafael Jodar
27%
Daniil Medvedev
15%
Ben Shelton
14%
Arthur Fils
12%
Jakub Mensik
31%
Brandon Nakashima
8%
Learner Tien
5%
Alex de Minaur
5%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
5%
Alexander Bublik
5%
Luciano Darderi
5%
Valentin Vacherot
5%
Michael Zheng
5%
Lorenzo Musetti
4%
Tommy Paul
4%
Alejandro Tabilo
4%
Arthur Rinderknech
4%
Carlos Taberner
4%
Gael Monfils
4%
Dane Sweeny
4%
J.J. Wolf
4%
Thanasi Kokkinakis
4%
Filip Misolic
4%
Jiri Lehecka
3%
Juncheng Shang
3%
Darwin Blanch
3%
Andrey Rublev
3%
Sebastian Gorzny
3%
Cameron Norrie
2%
Francisco Cerundolo
2%
Alexander Blockx
2%
Zizou Bergs
2%
Jack Kennedy
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 25, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Вирішувач
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Вирішувач
0x65070BE91...Carlos Alcaraz enters as the betting favorite to reach the 2026 US Open men's final despite a four-month wrist injury layoff, with his talent and defending-champion status outweighing rust concerns in trader pricing. Jannik Sinner's right-knee withdrawal has opened the draw, elevating top seed Alexander Zverev (French Open champion with strong 2026 results), Novak Djokovic, and in-form Americans Ben Shelton and Taylor Fritz. Arthur Fils and Rafael Jodar stand out as bracket outliers with elevated implied probabilities based on recent hard-court momentum. Key variables include Alcaraz's opening test against Roman Safiullin, quarter-by-quarter bracket difficulty, and the physical demands of best-of-five sets on DecoTurf for returning or aging players. Recent North American swing results heavily influence current consensus on semifinal paths.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання