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icon for U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

icon for U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

Dec 31

Dec 31

11% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
11% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela. A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.U.S. policy under the current administration prioritizes a phased approach of stabilization and economic recovery in Venezuela before any full democratic transition, with officials continuing to engage acting President Delcy Rodríguez following the January 2026 capture of Nicolás Maduro. President Trump has repeatedly questioned María Corina Machado's domestic support and suitability to lead, directing focus instead toward Edmundo González, whom the United States recognized as the legitimate 2024 election winner. Recent diplomatic contacts between Machado and U.S. leaders, including a White House meeting and her Nobel Peace Prize presentation, produced no shift in this stance, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio has emphasized sequential steps rather than immediate recognition of opposition figures. Traders see these signals, combined with ongoing security concerns delaying Machado's return and the absence of any formal endorsement or diplomatic upgrade for her by mid-2026, as strong evidence against U.S. acknowledgment of her as Venezuela's leader before the December 31 deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.

A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$3,882
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela. A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela. A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.U.S. policy under the current administration prioritizes a phased approach of stabilization and economic recovery in Venezuela before any full democratic transition, with officials continuing to engage acting President Delcy Rodríguez following the January 2026 capture of Nicolás Maduro. President Trump has repeatedly questioned María Corina Machado's domestic support and suitability to lead, directing focus instead toward Edmundo González, whom the United States recognized as the legitimate 2024 election winner. Recent diplomatic contacts between Machado and U.S. leaders, including a White House meeting and her Nobel Peace Prize presentation, produced no shift in this stance, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio has emphasized sequential steps rather than immediate recognition of opposition figures. Traders see these signals, combined with ongoing security concerns delaying Machado's return and the absence of any formal endorsement or diplomatic upgrade for her by mid-2026, as strong evidence against U.S. acknowledgment of her as Venezuela's leader before the December 31 deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.

A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$3,882
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela. A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 11% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 11¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 11%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Jan 31, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?» — 11% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 11% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.