**FF Jaro sits at the foot of the Veikkausliiga relegation round on 16 points after 24 matches, with IFK Mariehamn just one point ahead on 17, while FC Lahti leads the six-team group on 35.** Both bottom sides carry the league’s worst goal differences (-28 and -26) and have managed only three wins each, reflecting persistent defensive issues and limited attacking output. The split format after the regular season means the bottom two face direct relegation or a November play-off against a Ykkösliiga side, with the remaining fixtures between these teams and mid-table sides like SJK and Ilves still to be played. Recent results, including narrow home wins for Mariehamn and draws for Jaro, have not altered their precarious positions, leaving trader consensus focused on Jaro’s likely direct drop and Mariehamn’s play-off risk.