OpenAI’s March 2026 $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, followed by its June confidential IPO filing, anchors trader sentiment around the $1–2 trillion range. Explosive revenue growth from ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise APIs, plus major capital commitments from Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank, supports expectations for a substantial IPO premium. However, the company’s reported operating losses exceeding $1 per dollar of revenue, unresolved restructuring to for-profit status, and potential 2027 listing timeline versus a possible fall 2026 debut introduce uncertainty. Competitive pressure from Anthropic’s IPO plans and broader AI sector multiples further explain the closely matched probabilities across $1.0–2.0 trillion brackets, reflecting market-implied odds that balance hyper-growth potential against profitability and execution risks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$1.75T–$2.0T 20%
$1.25T–$1.5T 18.1%
$1.0T–$1.25T 16%
$1.5T–$1.75T 15.6%
$56,948 Обс.
$56,948 Обс.
Jul 1, 2027
<$1T
10%
$1.0T–$1.25T
16%
$1.25T–$1.5T
18%
$1.5T–$1.75T
16%
$1.75T–$2.0T
20%
$2.0T–$2.25T
6%
$2.25T–$2.5T
5%
$2.5T+
6%
$1.75T–$2.0T 20%
$1.25T–$1.5T 18.1%
$1.0T–$1.25T 16%
$1.5T–$1.75T 15.6%
$56,948 Обс.
$56,948 Обс.
Jul 1, 2027
<$1T
$4,314 Обс.
10%
$1.0T–$1.25T
$5,952 Обс.
16%
$1.25T–$1.5T
$3,532 Обс.
18%
$1.5T–$1.75T
$2,664 Обс.
16%
$1.75T–$2.0T
$8,219 Обс.
20%
$2.0T–$2.25T
$1,996 Обс.
6%
$2.25T–$2.5T
$1,955 Обс.
5%
$2.5T+
$28,317 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s March 2026 $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, followed by its June confidential IPO filing, anchors trader sentiment around the $1–2 trillion range. Explosive revenue growth from ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise APIs, plus major capital commitments from Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank, supports expectations for a substantial IPO premium. However, the company’s reported operating losses exceeding $1 per dollar of revenue, unresolved restructuring to for-profit status, and potential 2027 listing timeline versus a possible fall 2026 debut introduce uncertainty. Competitive pressure from Anthropic’s IPO plans and broader AI sector multiples further explain the closely matched probabilities across $1.0–2.0 trillion brackets, reflecting market-implied odds that balance hyper-growth potential against profitability and execution risks.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Обсяг
$56,948Дата завершення
Jul 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s March 2026 $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, followed by its June confidential IPO filing, anchors trader sentiment around the $1–2 trillion range. Explosive revenue growth from ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise APIs, plus major capital commitments from Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank, supports expectations for a substantial IPO premium. However, the company’s reported operating losses exceeding $1 per dollar of revenue, unresolved restructuring to for-profit status, and potential 2027 listing timeline versus a possible fall 2026 debut introduce uncertainty. Competitive pressure from Anthropic’s IPO plans and broader AI sector multiples further explain the closely matched probabilities across $1.0–2.0 trillion brackets, reflecting market-implied odds that balance hyper-growth potential against profitability and execution risks.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$56,948Дата завершення
Jul 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s March 2026 $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, followed by its June confidential IPO filing, anchors trader sentiment around the $1–2 trillion range. Explosive revenue growth from ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise APIs, plus major capital commitments from Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank, supports expectations for a substantial IPO premium. However, the company’s reported operating losses exceeding $1 per dollar of revenue, unresolved restructuring to for-profit status, and potential 2027 listing timeline versus a possible fall 2026 debut introduce uncertainty. Competitive pressure from Anthropic’s IPO plans and broader AI sector multiples further explain the closely matched probabilities across $1.0–2.0 trillion brackets, reflecting market-implied odds that balance hyper-growth potential against profitability and execution risks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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