The ongoing Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo, now the largest in the country's history with over 7,000 confirmed cases and nearly 3,400 deaths across seven provinces as of mid-September 2026, drives trader sentiment on cross-border spread. Rapid community transmission in remote, conflict-affected zones, combined with suboptimal contact tracing and population movements, has already produced cases in Uganda—prompting its 100% market resolution—while raising near-term risks for neighbors like South Sudan. Vaccination campaigns target frontline workers, yet limited efficacy data for this strain and ongoing insecurity in eastern DRC sustain uncertainty around further regional expansion by year-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhich countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
$38,659 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
South Sudan
68%
Rwanda
22%
Burundi
-
United States
19%
Canada
23%
Kenya
23%
India
46%
Republic of the Congo
26%
Nigeria
50%
Ethiopia
52%
Somalia
36%
China
13%
$38,659 Обс.
South Sudan
$4,363 Обс.
68%
Rwanda
$2,149 Обс.
22%
Burundi
$202 Обс.
-
United States
$10,507 Обс.
19%
Canada
$2,307 Обс.
23%
Kenya
$235 Обс.
23%
India
$737 Обс.
46%
Republic of the Congo
$12,400 Обс.
26%
Nigeria
$25 Обс.
50%
Ethiopia
$107 Обс.
52%
Somalia
$129 Обс.
36%
China
$3,543 Обс.
13%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The ongoing Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo, now the largest in the country's history with over 7,000 confirmed cases and nearly 3,400 deaths across seven provinces as of mid-September 2026, drives trader sentiment on cross-border spread. Rapid community transmission in remote, conflict-affected zones, combined with suboptimal contact tracing and population movements, has already produced cases in Uganda—prompting its 100% market resolution—while raising near-term risks for neighbors like South Sudan. Vaccination campaigns target frontline workers, yet limited efficacy data for this strain and ongoing insecurity in eastern DRC sustain uncertainty around further regional expansion by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Ринок відкрито: May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ET
Обсяг
$38,659Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The ongoing Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo, now the largest in the country's history with over 7,000 confirmed cases and nearly 3,400 deaths across seven provinces as of mid-September 2026, drives trader sentiment on cross-border spread. Rapid community transmission in remote, conflict-affected zones, combined with suboptimal contact tracing and population movements, has already produced cases in Uganda—prompting its 100% market resolution—while raising near-term risks for neighbors like South Sudan. Vaccination campaigns target frontline workers, yet limited efficacy data for this strain and ongoing insecurity in eastern DRC sustain uncertainty around further regional expansion by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Обсяг
$38,659Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...The ongoing Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo, now the largest in the country's history with over 7,000 confirmed cases and nearly 3,400 deaths across seven provinces as of mid-September 2026, drives trader sentiment on cross-border spread. Rapid community transmission in remote, conflict-affected zones, combined with suboptimal contact tracing and population movements, has already produced cases in Uganda—prompting its 100% market resolution—while raising near-term risks for neighbors like South Sudan. Vaccination campaigns target frontline workers, yet limited efficacy data for this strain and ongoing insecurity in eastern DRC sustain uncertainty around further regional expansion by year-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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