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Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

icon for Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

$14,913 Обс.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$14,913 Обс.

Polymarket

South Sudan

$596 Обс.

79%

Rwanda

$157 Обс.

57%

Burundi

$157 Обс.

65%

United States

$4,269 Обс.

37%

Canada

$823 Обс.

26%

Kenya

$134 Обс.

77%

India

$390 Обс.

29%

Republic of the Congo

$4,412 Обс.

23%

Nigeria

$24 Обс.

32%

Ethiopia

$64 Обс.

44%

Somalia

$65 Обс.

38%

China

$1,867 Обс.

32%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Ongoing Bundibugyo virus outbreaks in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) and Uganda, declared a public health emergency of international concern by the WHO in May 2026, represent the primary driver of market sentiment for countries reporting Ebola cases this year. As of early June, CDC and WHO data show hundreds of confirmed and suspected cases concentrated in DRC’s Ituri Province with cross-border transmission into Uganda, driven by population movement, mining activity, and insecurity. Africa CDC has flagged ten neighboring nations—Angola, Burundi, Central African Republic, Republic of Congo, Ethiopia, Kenya, Rwanda, South Sudan, Tanzania, and Zambia—as higher risk due to shared borders and travel patterns. Historical precedent shows most Ebola events confined to Central and West Africa, though surveillance updates, contact-tracing expansions, and any new laboratory confirmations could shift probabilities before year-end resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Обсяг
$14,913
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Ongoing Bundibugyo virus outbreaks in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) and Uganda, declared a public health emergency of international concern by the WHO in May 2026, represent the primary driver of market sentiment for countries reporting Ebola cases this year. As of early June, CDC and WHO data show hundreds of confirmed and suspected cases concentrated in DRC’s Ituri Province with cross-border transmission into Uganda, driven by population movement, mining activity, and insecurity. Africa CDC has flagged ten neighboring nations—Angola, Burundi, Central African Republic, Republic of Congo, Ethiopia, Kenya, Rwanda, South Sudan, Tanzania, and Zambia—as higher risk due to shared borders and travel patterns. Historical precedent shows most Ebola events confined to Central and West Africa, though surveillance updates, contact-tracing expansions, and any new laboratory confirmations could shift probabilities before year-end resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Обсяг
$14,913
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 13 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Uganda» з 100%, далі «South Sudan» з 79%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?» згенерував $14.9K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку May 22, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?», перегляньте 13 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?» — «Uganda» з 100%. Наступний — «South Sudan» з 79%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.