Trader sentiment in this multi-outcome market reflects assessments of ongoing federal investigations, potential DOJ actions, and legal proceedings involving former intelligence officials, political figures, and activists before the January 1, 2027 resolution date. Leading probabilities center on individuals such as Mahmoud Khalil amid reports of campus-related charges, alongside John Brennan and others tied to prior intelligence or policy controversies that could trigger indictments or arrests under current enforcement priorities. Key drivers include Senate confirmation dynamics for key appointments, scheduled court dates, and any new disclosures from special counsels or congressional committees that could accelerate or stall cases. Historical precedents for similar high-profile prosecutions and the pace of recent legal filings continue to shape crowd consensus on which outcomes clear procedural hurdles first.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWho will be arrested before 2027?
$361,848 Обс.
Anthony Fauci
12%
John Brennan
29%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
23%
Adam Schiff
3%
Barack Obama
1%
James Comey
6%
Mahmoud Khalil
27%
James Clapper
13%
Letitia James
13%
Hillary Clinton
3%
Bill Clinton
3%
Loretta Lynch
10%
Susan Rice
9%
Candace Owens
6%
Gavin Newsom
3%
Benjamin Netanyahu
5%
John Kerry
3%
Pam Bondi
4%
Tom Homan
11%
Kash Patel
3%
Brandon Johnson
12%
Lisa Cook
10%
Lee Jun-seok
11%
Joe Biden
2%
$361,848 Обс.
Anthony Fauci
12%
John Brennan
29%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
23%
Adam Schiff
3%
Barack Obama
1%
James Comey
6%
Mahmoud Khalil
27%
James Clapper
13%
Letitia James
13%
Hillary Clinton
3%
Bill Clinton
3%
Loretta Lynch
10%
Susan Rice
9%
Candace Owens
6%
Gavin Newsom
3%
Benjamin Netanyahu
5%
John Kerry
3%
Pam Bondi
4%
Tom Homan
11%
Kash Patel
3%
Brandon Johnson
12%
Lisa Cook
10%
Lee Jun-seok
11%
Joe Biden
2%
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment in this multi-outcome market reflects assessments of ongoing federal investigations, potential DOJ actions, and legal proceedings involving former intelligence officials, political figures, and activists before the January 1, 2027 resolution date. Leading probabilities center on individuals such as Mahmoud Khalil amid reports of campus-related charges, alongside John Brennan and others tied to prior intelligence or policy controversies that could trigger indictments or arrests under current enforcement priorities. Key drivers include Senate confirmation dynamics for key appointments, scheduled court dates, and any new disclosures from special counsels or congressional committees that could accelerate or stall cases. Historical precedents for similar high-profile prosecutions and the pace of recent legal filings continue to shape crowd consensus on which outcomes clear procedural hurdles first.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



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