Skip to main content
icon for Who will be arrested before 2027?
Політика·James Comey

Who will be arrested before 2027?

icon for Who will be arrested before 2027?
Політика·James Comey

Who will be arrested before 2027?

$361,848 Обс.

Polymarket

$361,848 Обс.

Polymarket

Anthony Fauci

$132,427 Обс.

12%

John Brennan

$18,168 Обс.

29%

José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero

$21,677 Обс.

23%

Adam Schiff

$16,394 Обс.

3%

Barack Obama

$28,805 Обс.

1%

James Comey

$9,602 Обс.

6%

Mahmoud Khalil

$1,278 Обс.

27%

James Clapper

$6,726 Обс.

13%

Letitia James

$2,821 Обс.

13%

Hillary Clinton

$25,009 Обс.

3%

Bill Clinton

$2,008 Обс.

3%

Loretta Lynch

$2,376 Обс.

10%

Susan Rice

$304 Обс.

9%

Candace Owens

$263 Обс.

6%

Gavin Newsom

$37,157 Обс.

3%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$1,789 Обс.

5%

John Kerry

$346 Обс.

3%

Pam Bondi

$1,998 Обс.

4%

Tom Homan

$39,428 Обс.

11%

Kash Patel

$530 Обс.

3%

Brandon Johnson

$3,191 Обс.

12%

Lisa Cook

$3,218 Обс.

10%

Lee Jun-seok

$794 Обс.

11%

Joe Biden

$5,538 Обс.

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment in this multi-outcome market reflects assessments of ongoing federal investigations, potential DOJ actions, and legal proceedings involving former intelligence officials, political figures, and activists before the January 1, 2027 resolution date. Leading probabilities center on individuals such as Mahmoud Khalil amid reports of campus-related charges, alongside John Brennan and others tied to prior intelligence or policy controversies that could trigger indictments or arrests under current enforcement priorities. Key drivers include Senate confirmation dynamics for key appointments, scheduled court dates, and any new disclosures from special counsels or congressional committees that could accelerate or stall cases. Historical precedents for similar high-profile prosecutions and the pace of recent legal filings continue to shape crowd consensus on which outcomes clear procedural hurdles first.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring

The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$361,848
Ринок відкрито
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment in this multi-outcome market reflects assessments of ongoing federal investigations, potential DOJ actions, and legal proceedings involving former intelligence officials, political figures, and activists before the January 1, 2027 resolution date. Leading probabilities center on individuals such as Mahmoud Khalil amid reports of campus-related charges, alongside John Brennan and others tied to prior intelligence or policy controversies that could trigger indictments or arrests under current enforcement priorities. Key drivers include Senate confirmation dynamics for key appointments, scheduled court dates, and any new disclosures from special counsels or congressional committees that could accelerate or stall cases. Historical precedents for similar high-profile prosecutions and the pace of recent legal filings continue to shape crowd consensus on which outcomes clear procedural hurdles first.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring

The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$361,848
Ринок відкрито
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Пов'язане

icon for Obama arrested before 2027?

Obama arrested before 2027?

3%
icon for Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026?

Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026?

20%
icon for Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

7%

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Who will be arrested before 2027?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 24 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «John Brennan» з 28%, далі «Mahmoud Khalil» з 27%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Who will be arrested before 2027?» згенерував $361.8K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Apr 30, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Who will be arrested before 2027?», перегляньте 24 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Who will be arrested before 2027?» — «John Brennan» з 28%. Наступний — «Mahmoud Khalil» з 27%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Who will be arrested before 2027?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.