Traders in this multi-outcome market assign the highest implied probabilities to former intelligence and health officials such as John Brennan and Anthony Fauci, reflecting ongoing Department of Justice inquiries and congressional oversight into prior administration actions on intelligence assessments, pandemic policies, and related matters. Current odds also incorporate elevated enforcement activity across federal agencies, including record ICE arrests and deportations in 2026, alongside procedural timelines that could lead to indictments or arrests before the December 31, 2026 resolution date. Key variables include any new grand jury developments, Senate confirmation dynamics for law enforcement leadership, and potential court rulings that might accelerate or delay cases involving figures like James Comey or Adam Schiff. No confirmed arrests of the listed individuals have occurred recently, leaving room for shifts based on verifiable investigative progress or executive actions within the remaining months.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWho will be arrested before 2027?
Who will be arrested before 2027?
$385,347 Обс.
Anthony Fauci
11%
John Brennan
24%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
16%
Adam Schiff
3%
Barack Obama
2%
James Comey
6%
Mahmoud Khalil
29%
James Clapper
12%
Letitia James
13%
Hillary Clinton
3%
Bill Clinton
2%
Loretta Lynch
10%
Susan Rice
9%
Candace Owens
7%
Gavin Newsom
3%
Benjamin Netanyahu
5%
John Kerry
2%
Pam Bondi
2%
Tom Homan
12%
Kash Patel
3%
Brandon Johnson
12%
Lisa Cook
8%
Lee Jun-seok
11%
Joe Biden
2%
$385,347 Обс.
Anthony Fauci
$147,409 Обс.
11%
John Brennan
$20,678 Обс.
24%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
$21,892 Обс.
16%
Adam Schiff
$16,402 Обс.
3%
Barack Obama
$29,104 Обс.
2%
James Comey
$9,716 Обс.
6%
Mahmoud Khalil
$1,308 Обс.
29%
James Clapper
$6,726 Обс.
12%
Letitia James
$2,908 Обс.
13%
Hillary Clinton
$25,109 Обс.
3%
Bill Clinton
$2,548 Обс.
2%
Loretta Lynch
$2,376 Обс.
10%
Susan Rice
$304 Обс.
9%
Candace Owens
$268 Обс.
7%
Gavin Newsom
$38,824 Обс.
3%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$1,923 Обс.
5%
John Kerry
$501 Обс.
2%
Pam Bondi
$2,017 Обс.
2%
Tom Homan
$40,029 Обс.
12%
Kash Patel
$559 Обс.
3%
Brandon Johnson
$3,197 Обс.
12%
Lisa Cook
$3,374 Обс.
8%
Lee Jun-seok
$794 Обс.
11%
Joe Biden
$7,381 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders in this multi-outcome market assign the highest implied probabilities to former intelligence and health officials such as John Brennan and Anthony Fauci, reflecting ongoing Department of Justice inquiries and congressional oversight into prior administration actions on intelligence assessments, pandemic policies, and related matters. Current odds also incorporate elevated enforcement activity across federal agencies, including record ICE arrests and deportations in 2026, alongside procedural timelines that could lead to indictments or arrests before the December 31, 2026 resolution date. Key variables include any new grand jury developments, Senate confirmation dynamics for law enforcement leadership, and potential court rulings that might accelerate or delay cases involving figures like James Comey or Adam Schiff. No confirmed arrests of the listed individuals have occurred recently, leaving room for shifts based on verifiable investigative progress or executive actions within the remaining months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Обсяг
$385,347Ринок відкрито
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders in this multi-outcome market assign the highest implied probabilities to former intelligence and health officials such as John Brennan and Anthony Fauci, reflecting ongoing Department of Justice inquiries and congressional oversight into prior administration actions on intelligence assessments, pandemic policies, and related matters. Current odds also incorporate elevated enforcement activity across federal agencies, including record ICE arrests and deportations in 2026, alongside procedural timelines that could lead to indictments or arrests before the December 31, 2026 resolution date. Key variables include any new grand jury developments, Senate confirmation dynamics for law enforcement leadership, and potential court rulings that might accelerate or delay cases involving figures like James Comey or Adam Schiff. No confirmed arrests of the listed individuals have occurred recently, leaving room for shifts based on verifiable investigative progress or executive actions within the remaining months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$385,347Ринок відкрито
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders in this multi-outcome market assign the highest implied probabilities to former intelligence and health officials such as John Brennan and Anthony Fauci, reflecting ongoing Department of Justice inquiries and congressional oversight into prior administration actions on intelligence assessments, pandemic policies, and related matters. Current odds also incorporate elevated enforcement activity across federal agencies, including record ICE arrests and deportations in 2026, alongside procedural timelines that could lead to indictments or arrests before the December 31, 2026 resolution date. Key variables include any new grand jury developments, Senate confirmation dynamics for law enforcement leadership, and potential court rulings that might accelerate or delay cases involving figures like James Comey or Adam Schiff. No confirmed arrests of the listed individuals have occurred recently, leaving room for shifts based on verifiable investigative progress or executive actions within the remaining months.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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