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Політика·United Nations

Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

icon for Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?
Політика·United Nations

Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

Rafael Grossi 49%

Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés 23.3%

Michelle Bachelet 12.8%

Rebeca Grynspan 9.5%

Polymarket

$60,733 Обс.

Rafael Grossi 49%

Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés 23.3%

Michelle Bachelet 12.8%

Rebeca Grynspan 9.5%

Polymarket

$60,733 Обс.

Rafael Grossi

$20,380 Обс.

39%

Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés

$1,901 Обс.

23%

Michelle Bachelet

$19,938 Обс.

13%

Rebeca Grynspan

$3,075 Обс.

14%

Jacinda Ardern

$1,196 Обс.

3%

Bruno Donat

$1,580 Обс.

1%

David Choquehuanca

$1,708 Обс.

<1%

Vuk Jeremić

$1,679 Обс.

<1%

Mia Mottley

$1,180 Обс.

<1%

Colombe Cahen-Salvador

$1,814 Обс.

<1%

Alicia Bárcena

$1,029 Обс.

<1%

Kristalina Georgieva

$1,071 Обс.

<1%

Amina Mohammed

$3,003 Обс.

<1%

Achim Steiner

$1,179 Обс.

<1%

A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rafael Grossi leads trader consensus in the race for the next United Nations Secretary-General, reflecting his established profile as IAEA Director General and recent interactive dialogues with member states in April 2026 that showcased his crisis-management record on nuclear issues and Ukraine. Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés rose sharply after her nomination on 11 May 2026 by Antigua and Barbuda, highlighting Latin American regional support and fresh momentum in the process that formally opened in late 2025. Rebeca Grynspan and Michelle Bachelet remain competitive on reform and gender-equality platforms, yet the Security Council’s closed-door straw polls scheduled for July will determine which candidates advance toward General Assembly appointment for the term beginning January 2027.

A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations.

This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.

If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$60,733
Дата завершення
Feb 28, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 11, 2025, 7:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rafael Grossi leads trader consensus in the race for the next United Nations Secretary-General, reflecting his established profile as IAEA Director General and recent interactive dialogues with member states in April 2026 that showcased his crisis-management record on nuclear issues and Ukraine. Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés rose sharply after her nomination on 11 May 2026 by Antigua and Barbuda, highlighting Latin American regional support and fresh momentum in the process that formally opened in late 2025. Rebeca Grynspan and Michelle Bachelet remain competitive on reform and gender-equality platforms, yet the Security Council’s closed-door straw polls scheduled for July will determine which candidates advance toward General Assembly appointment for the term beginning January 2027.

A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations.

This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.

If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$60,733
Дата завершення
Feb 28, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 11, 2025, 7:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 14 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Rafael Grossi» з 39%, далі «Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés» з 23%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?» згенерував $60.7K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Dec 12, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?», перегляньте 14 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?» — «Rafael Grossi» з 39%. Наступний — «Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés» з 23%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.