Petr Yan's status as the current UFC Bantamweight champion, secured with a decision victory over Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025, underpins his dominant 59% implied probability in the end-of-2026 title market. The Russian's experience, elite striking, and successful return to the top after an extended title drought position him as the frontrunner, with traders factoring in his expected summer 2026 return from minor back surgery. Merab Dvalishvili sits at 17.5% as the most active recent titleholder with multiple 2025 defenses, yet his recent loss tempers momentum. Sean O'Malley at 9.5% and rising Umar Nurmagomedov at 7% reflect strong stylistic threats and recent wins, but face longer paths to a sustained reign amid the division's deep talent pool and scheduling variables.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоPetr Yan 54%
Merab Dvalishvili 18%
Sean O'Malley 16%
Umar Nurmagomedov 8%
$302,454 Обс.
$302,454 Обс.
Petr Yan
59%
Merab Dvalishvili
18%
Sean O'Malley
16%
Umar Nurmagomedov
8%
Deiveson Figueiredo
1%
Song Yadong
<1%
Aiemann Zahabi
<1%
Cory Sandhagen
<1%
Marlon Vera
<1%
David Martinez
<1%
Mario Bautista
<1%
Petr Yan 54%
Merab Dvalishvili 18%
Sean O'Malley 16%
Umar Nurmagomedov 8%
$302,454 Обс.
$302,454 Обс.
Petr Yan
59%
Merab Dvalishvili
18%
Sean O'Malley
16%
Umar Nurmagomedov
8%
Deiveson Figueiredo
1%
Song Yadong
<1%
Aiemann Zahabi
<1%
Cory Sandhagen
<1%
Marlon Vera
<1%
David Martinez
<1%
Mario Bautista
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Petr Yan's status as the current UFC Bantamweight champion, secured with a decision victory over Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025, underpins his dominant 59% implied probability in the end-of-2026 title market. The Russian's experience, elite striking, and successful return to the top after an extended title drought position him as the frontrunner, with traders factoring in his expected summer 2026 return from minor back surgery. Merab Dvalishvili sits at 17.5% as the most active recent titleholder with multiple 2025 defenses, yet his recent loss tempers momentum. Sean O'Malley at 9.5% and rising Umar Nurmagomedov at 7% reflect strong stylistic threats and recent wins, but face longer paths to a sustained reign amid the division's deep talent pool and scheduling variables.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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