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Спорт·UFC

Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?

icon for Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?
Спорт·UFC

Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?

Ilia Topuria 81%

Justin Gaethje 8.1%

Charles Oliveira 5.0%

Arman Tsarukyan 3.5%

Polymarket

$23,686 Обс.

Ilia Topuria 81%

Justin Gaethje 8.1%

Charles Oliveira 5.0%

Arman Tsarukyan 3.5%

Polymarket

$23,686 Обс.

Ilia Topuria

$7,692 Обс.

81%

Arman Tsarukyan

$2,331 Обс.

4%

Charles Oliveira

$1,982 Обс.

5%

Max Holloway

$1,402 Обс.

<1%

Justin Gaethje

$2,644 Обс.

8%

Paddy Pimblett

$2,512 Обс.

<1%

Dan Hooker

$937 Обс.

1%

Mateusz Gamrot

$726 Обс.

<1%

Benoît Saint Denis

$1,450 Обс.

1%

Rafael Fiziev

$962 Обс.

<1%

Renato Moicano

$1,050 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Ilia Topuria’s status as the undefeated lightweight champion, secured via first-round knockout of Charles Oliveira in 2025 followed by a dominant featherweight-to-lightweight transition, drives his 74% implied probability for the end of 2026. Recent personal matters delayed his return through early 2026, yet he remains scheduled to unify titles against interim champion Justin Gaethje on June 14, where betting markets list him as a heavy favorite. Gaethje’s veteran experience and power account for his 11% share, though age and stylistic vulnerabilities against Topuria’s finishing ability limit his upside. Arman Tsarukyan, Charles Oliveira, and Benoît Saint Denis trail further back due to recent inactivity, stylistic matchups, or division positioning, while the remaining names reflect longer-shot paths through the rankings. Topuria’s youth and momentum position him to control the division through multiple potential defenses by year’s end.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Обсяг
$23,686
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jan 4, 2026, 2:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Ilia Topuria’s status as the undefeated lightweight champion, secured via first-round knockout of Charles Oliveira in 2025 followed by a dominant featherweight-to-lightweight transition, drives his 74% implied probability for the end of 2026. Recent personal matters delayed his return through early 2026, yet he remains scheduled to unify titles against interim champion Justin Gaethje on June 14, where betting markets list him as a heavy favorite. Gaethje’s veteran experience and power account for his 11% share, though age and stylistic vulnerabilities against Topuria’s finishing ability limit his upside. Arman Tsarukyan, Charles Oliveira, and Benoît Saint Denis trail further back due to recent inactivity, stylistic matchups, or division positioning, while the remaining names reflect longer-shot paths through the rankings. Topuria’s youth and momentum position him to control the division through multiple potential defenses by year’s end.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Обсяг
$23,686
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jan 4, 2026, 2:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 11 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Ilia Topuria» з 81%, далі «Justin Gaethje» з 8%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?» згенерував $23.7K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jan 4, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?», перегляньте 11 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?» — «Ilia Topuria» з 81%. Наступний — «Justin Gaethje» з 8%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.