Carlos Alcaraz's withdrawal from the 2026 French Open due to a right wrist injury sustained at the Barcelona Open in April has solidified trader consensus at 99.5% for no player achieving a Calendar Grand Slam this year, despite his historic Australian Open triumph over Novak Djokovic in February that completed his career Grand Slam as the youngest men's winner. The physical demands of conquering all four majors—hard-court AO, clay Roland Garros, grass Wimbledon, and hard-court US Open—in one season remain unprecedented in the Open Era for men, with varying surfaces amplifying injury risks and fatigue. Alcaraz's slim 0.5% implies trader skepticism on his recovery in time, while no other contender won AO, making sweeps impossible; only a miraculous Alcaraz return and dominance through summer could challenge this.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$334,175 Обс.
$334,175 Обс.
None
100%
Carlos Alcaraz
1%
$334,175 Обс.
$334,175 Обс.
None
100%
Carlos Alcaraz
1%
This market resolves to the single male player who wins the Men’s Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Men’s Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Alcaraz does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for anyone to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Men’s Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 6, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market resolves to the single male player who wins the Men’s Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Men’s Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Alcaraz does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for anyone to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Men’s Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Carlos Alcaraz's withdrawal from the 2026 French Open due to a right wrist injury sustained at the Barcelona Open in April has solidified trader consensus at 99.5% for no player achieving a Calendar Grand Slam this year, despite his historic Australian Open triumph over Novak Djokovic in February that completed his career Grand Slam as the youngest men's winner. The physical demands of conquering all four majors—hard-court AO, clay Roland Garros, grass Wimbledon, and hard-court US Open—in one season remain unprecedented in the Open Era for men, with varying surfaces amplifying injury risks and fatigue. Alcaraz's slim 0.5% implies trader skepticism on his recovery in time, while no other contender won AO, making sweeps impossible; only a miraculous Alcaraz return and dominance through summer could challenge this.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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