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icon for Хто виграє медаль Філдса 2026 року?

Хто виграє медаль Філдса 2026 року?

icon for Хто виграє медаль Філдса 2026 року?

Хто виграє медаль Філдса 2026 року?

$519,124 Обс.

Jul 30, 2026
Polymarket

$519,124 Обс.

Polymarket

Яків Цимерман

$54,107 Обс.

67%

Хон Ван

$72,226 Обс.

57%

Джек Торн

$100,528 Обс.

56%

Ю Ден

$116,590 Обс.

37%

Джон Пардон

$84,016 Обс.

35%

Джуліан Сахасрабудхе

$84,501 Обс.

26%

Сем Раскін

$2,483 Обс.

26%

Олександр Логунов

$204 Обс.

19%

Вілл Совін

$3,940 Обс.

14%

Олександр Єфімов

$529 Обс.

10%

The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal. If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.Trader consensus on the 2026 Fields Medal centers on mathematicians behind landmark recent breakthroughs, with Hong Wang's resolution of the century-old three-dimensional Kakeya conjecture—proven in 2025 and bolstered by her April 2026 Breakthrough Prize win—driving frontrunner momentum amid strong critical acclaim in the math community. Jacob Tsimerman's proof of the André-Oort conjecture and Jack Thorne's advances in the arithmetic Langlands program also fuel buzz, reflecting historical patterns favoring paradigm-shifting work in number theory and geometry. The secretive International Mathematical Union committee adds unpredictability, as votes remain confidential until the announcement at the International Congress of Mathematicians in Philadelphia, July 23-30. Watch for late peer reviews or new preprints that could spark upset shifts before the cutoff.

The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.

If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
Обсяг
$519,124
Дата завершення
Jul 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jan 6, 2026, 1:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal. If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal. If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.Trader consensus on the 2026 Fields Medal centers on mathematicians behind landmark recent breakthroughs, with Hong Wang's resolution of the century-old three-dimensional Kakeya conjecture—proven in 2025 and bolstered by her April 2026 Breakthrough Prize win—driving frontrunner momentum amid strong critical acclaim in the math community. Jacob Tsimerman's proof of the André-Oort conjecture and Jack Thorne's advances in the arithmetic Langlands program also fuel buzz, reflecting historical patterns favoring paradigm-shifting work in number theory and geometry. The secretive International Mathematical Union committee adds unpredictability, as votes remain confidential until the announcement at the International Congress of Mathematicians in Philadelphia, July 23-30. Watch for late peer reviews or new preprints that could spark upset shifts before the cutoff.

The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.

If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
Обсяг
$519,124
Дата завершення
Jul 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jan 6, 2026, 1:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal. If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.

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Часті запитання

«Хто виграє медаль Філдса 2026 року?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 10 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Яків Цимерман» з 67%, далі «Хон Ван» з 57%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Хто виграє медаль Філдса 2026 року?» згенерував $519.1K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jan 6, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Хто виграє медаль Філдса 2026 року?», перегляньте 10 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Хто виграє медаль Філдса 2026 року?» — «Яків Цимерман» з 67%. Наступний — «Хон Ван» з 57%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Хто виграє медаль Філдса 2026 року?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.