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icon for Хто виграє медаль Філдса 2026 року?

Хто виграє медаль Філдса 2026 року?

icon for Хто виграє медаль Філдса 2026 року?

Хто виграє медаль Філдса 2026 року?

$522,650 Обс.

Jul 30, 2026
Polymarket

$522,650 Обс.

Polymarket

Хон Ван

$74,950 Обс.

55%

Яків Цимерман

$54,118 Обс.

66%

Джек Торн

$100,538 Обс.

53%

Джон Пардон

$84,303 Обс.

41%

Ю Ден

$116,938 Обс.

28%

Джуліан Сахасрабудхе

$84,537 Обс.

29%

Сем Раскін

$2,573 Обс.

20%

Олександр Логунов

$215 Обс.

17%

Вілл Совін

$3,947 Обс.

23%

Олександр Єфімов

$530 Обс.

10%

The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal. If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.Hong Wang has surged to frontrunner status in the 2026 Fields Medal market following her landmark resolution of the three-dimensional Kakeya conjecture and a dominant April sweep of two major precursor awards, the Breakthrough Prize and Clay Research Award, which have intensified trader consensus around her campaign momentum. These breakthroughs in geometric measure theory have dominated math community discourse, mirroring how guild wins and critics’ circles shape awards-season narratives, while historical voting patterns favor mathematicians with such high-impact, peer-validated results under the age-40 threshold. Strong contenders like Jacob Tsimerman, riding advances on the Andre-Oort conjecture, and Jack Thorne, with number-theory breakthroughs, keep the field competitive for the up-to-four medals awarded at the International Congress of Mathematicians, with any late peer-reviewed publications or additional prize announcements likely to shift implied probabilities ahead of the 2026 ceremony.

The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.

If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
Обсяг
$522,650
Дата завершення
Jul 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jan 6, 2026, 1:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal. If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal. If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.Hong Wang has surged to frontrunner status in the 2026 Fields Medal market following her landmark resolution of the three-dimensional Kakeya conjecture and a dominant April sweep of two major precursor awards, the Breakthrough Prize and Clay Research Award, which have intensified trader consensus around her campaign momentum. These breakthroughs in geometric measure theory have dominated math community discourse, mirroring how guild wins and critics’ circles shape awards-season narratives, while historical voting patterns favor mathematicians with such high-impact, peer-validated results under the age-40 threshold. Strong contenders like Jacob Tsimerman, riding advances on the Andre-Oort conjecture, and Jack Thorne, with number-theory breakthroughs, keep the field competitive for the up-to-four medals awarded at the International Congress of Mathematicians, with any late peer-reviewed publications or additional prize announcements likely to shift implied probabilities ahead of the 2026 ceremony.

The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.

If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
Обсяг
$522,650
Дата завершення
Jul 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jan 6, 2026, 1:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal. If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.

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Часті запитання

«Хто виграє медаль Філдса 2026 року?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 10 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Яків Цимерман» з 66%, далі «Хон Ван» з 55%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Хто виграє медаль Філдса 2026 року?» згенерував $522.6K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jan 6, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Хто виграє медаль Філдса 2026 року?», перегляньте 10 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Хто виграє медаль Філдса 2026 року?» — «Яків Цимерман» з 66%. Наступний — «Хон Ван» з 55%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

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