FalleN’s announced retirement at the end of 2026, combined with FURIA’s failure to secure any S-Tier title this season despite multiple deep runs, underpins the 66.5% “No” implied probability. The 35-year-old IGL has posted inconsistent results in 2026 S-Tier events, including a runner-up finish at the IEM Cologne Major (lost 0-3 to Falcons) and 2nd at IEM Kraków, alongside 5-8th or lower placements at ESL Pro League Season 24, StarLadder StarSeries Fall, BLAST Open Fall, and others. Recent form shows early playoff exits and sub-1.0 HLTV ratings amid roster fatigue and a demanding schedule, with molodoy now handling primary AWP duties. Only a handful of remaining events, such as Thunderpick World Championship, leave limited opportunities before FalleN steps away.