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Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

icon for Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

3% шанс
Polymarket

$92,302 Обс.

3% шанс
Polymarket

$92,302 Обс.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the Gaza Strip by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the Gaza Strip that they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law. Instances where Israeli settlers claim administrative control over land in the Gaza Strip without formal annexation will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israeli officials maintain no formal territorial claims over Gaza and have instead advanced de facto administrative control and settlement measures exclusively in the West Bank through February 2026 land-registration decisions and cabinet approvals. Successive governments have reiterated adherence to a U.S.-brokered ceasefire framework that preserves military presence in portions of Gaza without sovereignty assertions, while coalition rhetoric on full annexation remains limited to individual ministers and lacks legislative or cabinet backing. With the June 30 resolution date weeks away, traders price the outcome near certainty on the absence of any official declaration. A rapid shift would require an unforeseen security escalation or sudden coalition realignment within the narrow window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the Gaza Strip by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the Gaza Strip that they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.

Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law. Instances where Israeli settlers claim administrative control over land in the Gaza Strip without formal annexation will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$92,302
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Oct 15, 2025, 5:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the Gaza Strip by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the Gaza Strip that they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law. Instances where Israeli settlers claim administrative control over land in the Gaza Strip without formal annexation will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the Gaza Strip by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the Gaza Strip that they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law. Instances where Israeli settlers claim administrative control over land in the Gaza Strip without formal annexation will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israeli officials maintain no formal territorial claims over Gaza and have instead advanced de facto administrative control and settlement measures exclusively in the West Bank through February 2026 land-registration decisions and cabinet approvals. Successive governments have reiterated adherence to a U.S.-brokered ceasefire framework that preserves military presence in portions of Gaza without sovereignty assertions, while coalition rhetoric on full annexation remains limited to individual ministers and lacks legislative or cabinet backing. With the June 30 resolution date weeks away, traders price the outcome near certainty on the absence of any official declaration. A rapid shift would require an unforeseen security escalation or sudden coalition realignment within the narrow window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the Gaza Strip by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the Gaza Strip that they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.

Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law. Instances where Israeli settlers claim administrative control over land in the Gaza Strip without formal annexation will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$92,302
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Oct 15, 2025, 5:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the Gaza Strip by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the Gaza Strip that they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law. Instances where Israeli settlers claim administrative control over land in the Gaza Strip without formal annexation will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 3% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 3¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 3%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?» згенерував $92.3K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Oct 15, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?» — 3% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 3% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.