Recent roster inclusion for Argentina and teammate Rodrigo De Paul's confirmation of joint special training sessions have solidified trader consensus around Messi's participation, reflecting his strong current form with Inter Miami and repeated public statements expressing hope to defend the 2022 title if fitness holds. At 38, the eight-time Ballon d'Or winner continues performing at an elite level, with coach Lionel Scaloni emphasizing it's ultimately Messi's call while remaining supportive. With the expanded 2026 tournament kicking off in June, the near-95% implied probability captures this clear momentum, though a late injury or sudden physical decline could still introduce limited upset risk before final squad selection.