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Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?

icon for Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?

Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?

99% шанс
Polymarket

$255,885 Обс.

99% шанс
Polymarket

$255,885 Обс.

The 2026 FIFA World Cup is a major soccer tournament held from June 11 to July 19, 2026, with games at multiple stadiums across North America. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi takes the field as a player in at least one official match for Argentina during the 2026 FIFA World Cup at the group stage or later. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any on-field appearance as a player will qualify, in regulation, stoppage time, extra time, for a shootout, etc. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Lionel Messi's confirmed inclusion in Argentina's official 26-man squad for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, announced May 29, has anchored the near-certain market consensus at 99.5% implied probability for Yes. Recent injury concerns were quickly ruled out as minor muscle fatigue rather than anything serious, while consistent fitness reports from Inter Miami and positive comments from coaches like Javier Mascherano and Guillermo Hoyos have reinforced expectations that the 38-year-old captain will feature in what could be his sixth tournament. The event's location across North America adds logistical appeal, and historical precedent favors his participation given Argentina's title defense and Messi's public interest in one more major run. A late injury withdrawal remains the only plausible upset scenario that could still shift the outcome before kickoff.

The 2026 FIFA World Cup is a major soccer tournament held from June 11 to July 19, 2026, with games at multiple stadiums across North America.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi takes the field as a player in at least one official match for Argentina during the 2026 FIFA World Cup at the group stage or later. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any on-field appearance as a player will qualify, in regulation, stoppage time, extra time, for a shootout, etc.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$255,885
Дата завершення
Jul 19, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 7, 2025, 3:33 PM ET
The 2026 FIFA World Cup is a major soccer tournament held from June 11 to July 19, 2026, with games at multiple stadiums across North America. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi takes the field as a player in at least one official match for Argentina during the 2026 FIFA World Cup at the group stage or later. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any on-field appearance as a player will qualify, in regulation, stoppage time, extra time, for a shootout, etc. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The 2026 FIFA World Cup is a major soccer tournament held from June 11 to July 19, 2026, with games at multiple stadiums across North America. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi takes the field as a player in at least one official match for Argentina during the 2026 FIFA World Cup at the group stage or later. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any on-field appearance as a player will qualify, in regulation, stoppage time, extra time, for a shootout, etc. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Lionel Messi's confirmed inclusion in Argentina's official 26-man squad for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, announced May 29, has anchored the near-certain market consensus at 99.5% implied probability for Yes. Recent injury concerns were quickly ruled out as minor muscle fatigue rather than anything serious, while consistent fitness reports from Inter Miami and positive comments from coaches like Javier Mascherano and Guillermo Hoyos have reinforced expectations that the 38-year-old captain will feature in what could be his sixth tournament. The event's location across North America adds logistical appeal, and historical precedent favors his participation given Argentina's title defense and Messi's public interest in one more major run. A late injury withdrawal remains the only plausible upset scenario that could still shift the outcome before kickoff.

The 2026 FIFA World Cup is a major soccer tournament held from June 11 to July 19, 2026, with games at multiple stadiums across North America.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi takes the field as a player in at least one official match for Argentina during the 2026 FIFA World Cup at the group stage or later. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any on-field appearance as a player will qualify, in regulation, stoppage time, extra time, for a shootout, etc.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$255,896
Дата завершення
Jul 19, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 7, 2025, 3:33 PM ET
The 2026 FIFA World Cup is a major soccer tournament held from June 11 to July 19, 2026, with games at multiple stadiums across North America. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi takes the field as a player in at least one official match for Argentina during the 2026 FIFA World Cup at the group stage or later. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any on-field appearance as a player will qualify, in regulation, stoppage time, extra time, for a shootout, etc. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 99% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 99¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 99%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?» згенерував $255.9K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Nov 7, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?» — 99% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 99% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.