Tesla's prioritization of Cybercab robotaxi production and unsupervised fleet scaling in multiple U.S. cities has driven the strong market consensus against Robovan orders opening before 2027. The larger autonomous van concept, unveiled in 2024, lacks any confirmed manufacturing timeline, regulatory approvals, or customer pre-order infrastructure, while resources focus on Cybercab ramp-up, NHTSA oversight, and expanding paid robotaxi services. Historical pattern of slipped autonomous vehicle deadlines and competing priorities like Optimus further support the 94.5% implied probability for "No." A rapid regulatory breakthrough or surprise production announcement could still shift sentiment, though no such catalyst has emerged.