Recent negotiations between the Metropolitan Transportation Authority and five Long Island Rail Road unions collapsed over wage increases after the last raise in 2022, triggering a strike by roughly 3,500 workers that began May 16 and halted service across the busiest U.S. commuter rail system. The three-day action disrupted commutes for hundreds of thousands of riders between Long Island and New York City until a tentative contract was reached late May 18, incorporating pay raises and adjusted work rules. Governor Kathy Hochul announced the deal, enabling phased service to resume at noon on May 19. Trader sentiment centers on the swift return to bargaining once the strike started and the precedent for rapid settlements in regional transit labor disputes once service halts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWill the Long Island Rail Road strike end by...?
Will the Long Island Rail Road strike end by...?
НОВЕ
May 31, 2026
May 19
97%
May 20
98%
May 21
98%
May 22
98%
May 23
98%
May 24
99%
May 31
99%
$2,830 Обс.
May 19
$415 Обс.
97%
May 20
$287 Обс.
98%
May 21
$334 Обс.
98%
May 22
$341 Обс.
98%
May 23
$334 Обс.
98%
May 24
$658 Обс.
99%
May 31
$461 Обс.
99%
On May 16, 2026, Long Island Rail Road workers represented by five unions began a strike against the Metropolitan Transportation Authority (MTA), halting LIRR service systemwide.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Long Island Rail Road strike ends by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The strike will be considered to have ended if an agreement is reached between the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions for the striking LIRR workers to return to work systemwide, or if it is otherwise announced by the MTA or the relevant striking LIRR unions that the strike has ended and the striking LIRR workers are returning to work systemwide.
A tentative or conditional agreement in which the LIRR workers return to work while negotiations are ongoing will count. Negotiations or agreements which do not include an agreement for the LIRR workers to return to work will not impact this market’s resolution. Negotiations, agreements or announcements allowing for specific subsets of the striking LIRR workers to return to work, but indicate that the strike is still ongoing, will not count.
An official announcement of a qualifying agreement or the end of the strike within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” regardless of when the agreement will go into effect or when the LIRR workers will return to work.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent negotiations between the Metropolitan Transportation Authority and five Long Island Rail Road unions collapsed over wage increases after the last raise in 2022, triggering a strike by roughly 3,500 workers that began May 16 and halted service across the busiest U.S. commuter rail system. The three-day action disrupted commutes for hundreds of thousands of riders between Long Island and New York City until a tentative contract was reached late May 18, incorporating pay raises and adjusted work rules. Governor Kathy Hochul announced the deal, enabling phased service to resume at noon on May 19. Trader sentiment centers on the swift return to bargaining once the strike started and the precedent for rapid settlements in regional transit labor disputes once service halts.
On May 16, 2026, Long Island Rail Road workers represented by five unions began a strike against the Metropolitan Transportation Authority (MTA), halting LIRR service systemwide.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Long Island Rail Road strike ends by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The strike will be considered to have ended if an agreement is reached between the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions for the striking LIRR workers to return to work systemwide, or if it is otherwise announced by the MTA or the relevant striking LIRR unions that the strike has ended and the striking LIRR workers are returning to work systemwide.
A tentative or conditional agreement in which the LIRR workers return to work while negotiations are ongoing will count. Negotiations or agreements which do not include an agreement for the LIRR workers to return to work will not impact this market’s resolution. Negotiations, agreements or announcements allowing for specific subsets of the striking LIRR workers to return to work, but indicate that the strike is still ongoing, will not count.
An official announcement of a qualifying agreement or the end of the strike within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” regardless of when the agreement will go into effect or when the LIRR workers will return to work.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Long Island Rail Road strike ends by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The strike will be considered to have ended if an agreement is reached between the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions for the striking LIRR workers to return to work systemwide, or if it is otherwise announced by the MTA or the relevant striking LIRR unions that the strike has ended and the striking LIRR workers are returning to work systemwide.
A tentative or conditional agreement in which the LIRR workers return to work while negotiations are ongoing will count. Negotiations or agreements which do not include an agreement for the LIRR workers to return to work will not impact this market’s resolution. Negotiations, agreements or announcements allowing for specific subsets of the striking LIRR workers to return to work, but indicate that the strike is still ongoing, will not count.
An official announcement of a qualifying agreement or the end of the strike within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” regardless of when the agreement will go into effect or when the LIRR workers will return to work.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: May 18, 2026, 6:47 PM ET
Обсяг
$2,830Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 18, 2026, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On May 16, 2026, Long Island Rail Road workers represented by five unions began a strike against the Metropolitan Transportation Authority (MTA), halting LIRR service systemwide.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Long Island Rail Road strike ends by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The strike will be considered to have ended if an agreement is reached between the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions for the striking LIRR workers to return to work systemwide, or if it is otherwise announced by the MTA or the relevant striking LIRR unions that the strike has ended and the striking LIRR workers are returning to work systemwide.
A tentative or conditional agreement in which the LIRR workers return to work while negotiations are ongoing will count. Negotiations or agreements which do not include an agreement for the LIRR workers to return to work will not impact this market’s resolution. Negotiations, agreements or announcements allowing for specific subsets of the striking LIRR workers to return to work, but indicate that the strike is still ongoing, will not count.
An official announcement of a qualifying agreement or the end of the strike within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” regardless of when the agreement will go into effect or when the LIRR workers will return to work.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent negotiations between the Metropolitan Transportation Authority and five Long Island Rail Road unions collapsed over wage increases after the last raise in 2022, triggering a strike by roughly 3,500 workers that began May 16 and halted service across the busiest U.S. commuter rail system. The three-day action disrupted commutes for hundreds of thousands of riders between Long Island and New York City until a tentative contract was reached late May 18, incorporating pay raises and adjusted work rules. Governor Kathy Hochul announced the deal, enabling phased service to resume at noon on May 19. Trader sentiment centers on the swift return to bargaining once the strike started and the precedent for rapid settlements in regional transit labor disputes once service halts.
On May 16, 2026, Long Island Rail Road workers represented by five unions began a strike against the Metropolitan Transportation Authority (MTA), halting LIRR service systemwide.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Long Island Rail Road strike ends by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The strike will be considered to have ended if an agreement is reached between the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions for the striking LIRR workers to return to work systemwide, or if it is otherwise announced by the MTA or the relevant striking LIRR unions that the strike has ended and the striking LIRR workers are returning to work systemwide.
A tentative or conditional agreement in which the LIRR workers return to work while negotiations are ongoing will count. Negotiations or agreements which do not include an agreement for the LIRR workers to return to work will not impact this market’s resolution. Negotiations, agreements or announcements allowing for specific subsets of the striking LIRR workers to return to work, but indicate that the strike is still ongoing, will not count.
An official announcement of a qualifying agreement or the end of the strike within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” regardless of when the agreement will go into effect or when the LIRR workers will return to work.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Long Island Rail Road strike ends by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The strike will be considered to have ended if an agreement is reached between the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions for the striking LIRR workers to return to work systemwide, or if it is otherwise announced by the MTA or the relevant striking LIRR unions that the strike has ended and the striking LIRR workers are returning to work systemwide.
A tentative or conditional agreement in which the LIRR workers return to work while negotiations are ongoing will count. Negotiations or agreements which do not include an agreement for the LIRR workers to return to work will not impact this market’s resolution. Negotiations, agreements or announcements allowing for specific subsets of the striking LIRR workers to return to work, but indicate that the strike is still ongoing, will not count.
An official announcement of a qualifying agreement or the end of the strike within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” regardless of when the agreement will go into effect or when the LIRR workers will return to work.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$2,830Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 18, 2026, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent negotiations between the Metropolitan Transportation Authority and five Long Island Rail Road unions collapsed over wage increases after the last raise in 2022, triggering a strike by roughly 3,500 workers that began May 16 and halted service across the busiest U.S. commuter rail system. The three-day action disrupted commutes for hundreds of thousands of riders between Long Island and New York City until a tentative contract was reached late May 18, incorporating pay raises and adjusted work rules. Governor Kathy Hochul announced the deal, enabling phased service to resume at noon on May 19. Trader sentiment centers on the swift return to bargaining once the strike started and the precedent for rapid settlements in regional transit labor disputes once service halts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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