Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty that the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) will not capture Khartoum by June 30, driven by the Sudanese Armed Forces' (SAF) firm control of the capital since recapturing it in May 2025—a year of relative stability amid the ongoing civil war. Recent RSF actions, including a May 4 drone strike on Khartoum International Airport, demonstrate harassment capabilities but no meaningful ground advances toward seizure, as RSF focuses on consolidating Darfur and peripheral offensives like West Kordofan. A military impasse persists, with SAF counterstrikes limiting escalation. With just six weeks remaining, only a dramatic RSF breakthrough, major SAF defection, or external intervention could shift odds, though none appear imminent.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWill the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30?
Will the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30?
$21,647 Обс.
$21,647 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
$21,647 Обс.
$21,647 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty that the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) will not capture Khartoum by June 30, driven by the Sudanese Armed Forces' (SAF) firm control of the capital since recapturing it in May 2025—a year of relative stability amid the ongoing civil war. Recent RSF actions, including a May 4 drone strike on Khartoum International Airport, demonstrate harassment capabilities but no meaningful ground advances toward seizure, as RSF focuses on consolidating Darfur and peripheral offensives like West Kordofan. A military impasse persists, with SAF counterstrikes limiting escalation. With just six weeks remaining, only a dramatic RSF breakthrough, major SAF defection, or external intervention could shift odds, though none appear imminent.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
Ринок відкрито: Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ET
Обсяг
$21,647Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty that the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) will not capture Khartoum by June 30, driven by the Sudanese Armed Forces' (SAF) firm control of the capital since recapturing it in May 2025—a year of relative stability amid the ongoing civil war. Recent RSF actions, including a May 4 drone strike on Khartoum International Airport, demonstrate harassment capabilities but no meaningful ground advances toward seizure, as RSF focuses on consolidating Darfur and peripheral offensives like West Kordofan. A military impasse persists, with SAF counterstrikes limiting escalation. With just six weeks remaining, only a dramatic RSF breakthrough, major SAF defection, or external intervention could shift odds, though none appear imminent.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
Обсяг
$21,647Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty that the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) will not capture Khartoum by June 30, driven by the Sudanese Armed Forces' (SAF) firm control of the capital since recapturing it in May 2025—a year of relative stability amid the ongoing civil war. Recent RSF actions, including a May 4 drone strike on Khartoum International Airport, demonstrate harassment capabilities but no meaningful ground advances toward seizure, as RSF focuses on consolidating Darfur and peripheral offensives like West Kordofan. A military impasse persists, with SAF counterstrikes limiting escalation. With just six weeks remaining, only a dramatic RSF breakthrough, major SAF defection, or external intervention could shift odds, though none appear imminent.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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