The Sudanese Armed Forces have maintained firm control of Khartoum since their major counteroffensive recaptured the capital region in 2025, with the transitional government fully returning from Port Sudan by January 2026. Recent RSF activity has been limited to isolated drone strikes on the airport and peripheral sites rather than coordinated ground advances, reflecting a broader military stalemate in which RSF forces remain concentrated in Darfur and parts of Kordofan. This territorial reality, combined with SAF reinforcements and the absence of any reported RSF buildup near the capital in recent weeks, underpins the near-certain trader consensus against capture by June 30. A rapid reversal would require a large-scale RSF offensive that has not materialized in over a year.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWill the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30?
Will the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30?
$21,763 Обс.
$21,763 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
$21,763 Обс.
$21,763 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.The Sudanese Armed Forces have maintained firm control of Khartoum since their major counteroffensive recaptured the capital region in 2025, with the transitional government fully returning from Port Sudan by January 2026. Recent RSF activity has been limited to isolated drone strikes on the airport and peripheral sites rather than coordinated ground advances, reflecting a broader military stalemate in which RSF forces remain concentrated in Darfur and parts of Kordofan. This territorial reality, combined with SAF reinforcements and the absence of any reported RSF buildup near the capital in recent weeks, underpins the near-certain trader consensus against capture by June 30. A rapid reversal would require a large-scale RSF offensive that has not materialized in over a year.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
Ринок відкрито: Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ET
Обсяг
$21,763Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.The Sudanese Armed Forces have maintained firm control of Khartoum since their major counteroffensive recaptured the capital region in 2025, with the transitional government fully returning from Port Sudan by January 2026. Recent RSF activity has been limited to isolated drone strikes on the airport and peripheral sites rather than coordinated ground advances, reflecting a broader military stalemate in which RSF forces remain concentrated in Darfur and parts of Kordofan. This territorial reality, combined with SAF reinforcements and the absence of any reported RSF buildup near the capital in recent weeks, underpins the near-certain trader consensus against capture by June 30. A rapid reversal would require a large-scale RSF offensive that has not materialized in over a year.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
Обсяг
$21,763Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Sudanese Armed Forces have maintained firm control of Khartoum since their major counteroffensive recaptured the capital region in 2025, with the transitional government fully returning from Port Sudan by January 2026. Recent RSF activity has been limited to isolated drone strikes on the airport and peripheral sites rather than coordinated ground advances, reflecting a broader military stalemate in which RSF forces remain concentrated in Darfur and parts of Kordofan. This territorial reality, combined with SAF reinforcements and the absence of any reported RSF buildup near the capital in recent weeks, underpins the near-certain trader consensus against capture by June 30. A rapid reversal would require a large-scale RSF offensive that has not materialized in over a year.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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