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Will the US House pass the Sunshine Protection Act by July 17?

icon for Will the US House pass the Sunshine Protection Act by July 17?

Will the US House pass the Sunshine Protection Act by July 17?

65% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
65% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes the Sunshine Protection Act or other legally binding legislation that would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States by July 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying bill does not need to pass as a standalone bill or be titled exactly as above, but it must contain legally operative provisions that, if enacted, would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States. Non-binding resolutions, including simple or concurrent resolutions that merely express the sense of the House, recommend that states change their timekeeping policies, or otherwise call for an end to clock-switching without legally implementing such a change, will not qualify. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., https://www.congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The House Energy and Commerce Committee advanced the Sunshine Protection Act (H.R. 139) in May 2026 with a 48-1 vote as part of the Motor Vehicle Modernization Act, and floor consideration is scheduled for the week of July 13. Trader consensus favoring non-passage by July 17 reflects the bill’s repeated failure to clear the full House despite prior Senate action, including the 2022 unanimous Senate passage that stalled amid objections. Key barriers include opposition from figures such as Sen. Tom Cotton over winter sunrise timing and school safety, limited floor time in a compressed legislative calendar, and the measure’s attachment to unrelated legislation that could invite amendments or procedural delays. The version under consideration would permit state opt-outs, yet these factors sustain skepticism about timely House approval before the deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes the Sunshine Protection Act or other legally binding legislation that would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States by July 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying bill does not need to pass as a standalone bill or be titled exactly as above, but it must contain legally operative provisions that, if enacted, would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States.

Non-binding resolutions, including simple or concurrent resolutions that merely express the sense of the House, recommend that states change their timekeeping policies, or otherwise call for an end to clock-switching without legally implementing such a change, will not qualify.

The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., https://www.congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$238
Дата завершення
Jul 17, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 11, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes the Sunshine Protection Act or other legally binding legislation that would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States by July 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying bill does not need to pass as a standalone bill or be titled exactly as above, but it must contain legally operative provisions that, if enacted, would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States. Non-binding resolutions, including simple or concurrent resolutions that merely express the sense of the House, recommend that states change their timekeeping policies, or otherwise call for an end to clock-switching without legally implementing such a change, will not qualify. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., https://www.congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes the Sunshine Protection Act or other legally binding legislation that would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States by July 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying bill does not need to pass as a standalone bill or be titled exactly as above, but it must contain legally operative provisions that, if enacted, would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States. Non-binding resolutions, including simple or concurrent resolutions that merely express the sense of the House, recommend that states change their timekeeping policies, or otherwise call for an end to clock-switching without legally implementing such a change, will not qualify. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., https://www.congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The House Energy and Commerce Committee advanced the Sunshine Protection Act (H.R. 139) in May 2026 with a 48-1 vote as part of the Motor Vehicle Modernization Act, and floor consideration is scheduled for the week of July 13. Trader consensus favoring non-passage by July 17 reflects the bill’s repeated failure to clear the full House despite prior Senate action, including the 2022 unanimous Senate passage that stalled amid objections. Key barriers include opposition from figures such as Sen. Tom Cotton over winter sunrise timing and school safety, limited floor time in a compressed legislative calendar, and the measure’s attachment to unrelated legislation that could invite amendments or procedural delays. The version under consideration would permit state opt-outs, yet these factors sustain skepticism about timely House approval before the deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes the Sunshine Protection Act or other legally binding legislation that would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States by July 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying bill does not need to pass as a standalone bill or be titled exactly as above, but it must contain legally operative provisions that, if enacted, would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States.

Non-binding resolutions, including simple or concurrent resolutions that merely express the sense of the House, recommend that states change their timekeeping policies, or otherwise call for an end to clock-switching without legally implementing such a change, will not qualify.

The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., https://www.congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$238
Дата завершення
Jul 17, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 11, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes the Sunshine Protection Act or other legally binding legislation that would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States by July 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying bill does not need to pass as a standalone bill or be titled exactly as above, but it must contain legally operative provisions that, if enacted, would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States. Non-binding resolutions, including simple or concurrent resolutions that merely express the sense of the House, recommend that states change their timekeeping policies, or otherwise call for an end to clock-switching without legally implementing such a change, will not qualify. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., https://www.congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Will the US House pass the Sunshine Protection Act by July 17?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 65% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 65¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 65%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Will the US House pass the Sunshine Protection Act by July 17?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Jul 11, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Will the US House pass the Sunshine Protection Act by July 17?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Will the US House pass the Sunshine Protection Act by July 17?» — 65% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 65% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

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