Traders see a near-certain 98.8 percent chance that Trump will not pardon Tiger Woods by June 30 because the golf legend faces no active federal charges, convictions, or ongoing legal matters eligible for executive clemency. Woods’ past encounters with law enforcement, such as earlier traffic incidents, were handled at the state level and resolved years ago with no federal implications. In the absence of any recent indictments, investigations, or political developments tying the PGA Tour star to presidential action, the market reflects a straightforward reality: nothing on the calendar supports a pardon. An unforeseen federal case emerging in the next six weeks could theoretically alter the picture, yet the current trajectory shows no signs of such movement.